Mdu Resources Group, Inc. · NYSE:MDU

Mdu Resources — Q1 2026 Earnings Presentation

22 slides from Mdu Resources's earnings presentation, May 7, 2026

  1. Slide 1: Q1 2026 Earnings Call

    Q1 2026 Earnings Call May 7, 2026

  2. Slide 2: Legal Disclaimer

    Legal Disclaimer Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Other than statements of historical facts, all statements which address activities, events or developments that the company a

  3. Slide 3: Key Highlights

    Key Highlights  Net income of $80.8 million vs $82.0 million in 2025 Quarterly  EPS of $0.39 vs. $0.40 in 2025 Performance  Weather unfavorably impacted results by approximately $0.03/share  Successful binding open season with 1.4 Bcf/day of submitted interest Potential Bakken  Approximately 40

  4. Slide 4: Compelling Investment Opportunity

    Compelling Investment Opportunity  Pure-play regulated energy delivery business  Focusing on our “CORE”  Extensive operational diversification  Supportive regulatory environment  Experienced management team with proven track record  6%-8% long-term EPS growth rate target  60%-70% annual divid

  5. Slide 5: Growth Plan of Capital Investment

    History CapitalofInvestment Growth Plan $3.1 Billion In Planned Capital Investments Capital Investment (2026-2030)1,2 Dollars in Millions $800 $720 $700 $674 $671 $70 $600 $565 $181 $282 $60 $483 $500 $295 $50 $400 $240 $361 $254 $223 $300 $200 $309 $250 $100 $184 $210 $144 2 $- 2026 2027 2028 2029

  6. Slide 6: Electric and Natural Gas Outlook

    Electric and Natural Gas Outlook  Safely meet customer demand by upgrading and expanding infrastructure and facilities  Customer base expected to continue growing by 1%-2% annually  Focused on timely regulatory recovery  580 MW of data center load under signed electric service agreements  $2.5

  7. Slide 7: Regulatory Update

    Regulatory Update Annual Revenue Increase Annual Revenue Increase Segment State Filing Date ROE Status (%)1 (in millions)1 General Rate Cases Pending Pending Electric Montana Sept. 30, 2025 20.2% $14.1M 10.8% Interim rates increase of $10.4M or 16.2% effective Apr. 1, 2026 Natural Gas Oregon Nov. 25

  8. Slide 8: Approach on Data Centers

    Approach on Data Centers • Minimal capital investment to date • ROE accretive • Beneficial to all parties • Data center purchasing energy from market • Reduces transmission charge to existing customers • Allows previously stranded power to reach market • 580 MW of data center load under signed elect

  9. Slide 9: Pipeline Outlook

    Pipeline Outlook Line Section 32 Minot Industrial  ~190 MMcf/day total  Approximately 90-mile expansion with expected late pipeline from Tioga, ND to 2028 in-service date Minot, ND to support  FERC section 7(c) application anticipated industrial demand filed March 2026  Agreement in place throug

  10. Slide 10: Pipeline Outlook – Bakken East

    Pipeline Outlook – Bakken East Successful binding open season  ~1.4 Bcf/day of interest received  ~40% signed under precedent agreements  Current assumptions  ~$2.7 billion - $3.2 billion total capital investment  353 miles of 42”, 36”, and 30” mainline pipeline  21 miles of 30”, 24”, and 20”

  11. Slide 11: Bakken East - Next Steps

    Bakken East - Next Steps Negotiate remaining Final investment Determine precedent agreements decision financing* Finalize project File with design FERC* *Dependent on final investment decision MDU | Q1 2026 Earnings Call | May 7, 2026 11

  12. Slide 12: Affirmed 2026 Guidance

    Affirmed 2026 Guidance Earnings per share in the range of $0.93 to $1.00 Based on the following assumptions for the remainder of the year:  Normal weather, economic and operating conditions  Continued growth in utility customers at 1%-2% annually  Successful execution of approved capital investme

  13. Slide 13: Financial Results

    Financial Results

  14. Slide 14: MDU Resources Group, Inc. 2026 Q1 Earnings

    MDU Resources Group, Inc. 2026 Q1 Earnings Earnings in millions Three months ended March 31 2026 2025 Variance Net Income (by segment) Electric $ 14.5 $ 15.0 $ (0.5) Natural gas distribution 44.2 44.7 (0.5) Pipeline 15.3 17.2 (1.9) Other 6.8 5.1 1.7 Consolidated Net Income $ 80.8 $ 82.0 $ (1.2) Aver

  15. Slide 15: Electric Utility

    Electric Utility 2026 Q1 Earnings Milder weather, partially offset by Badger Wind recovery Earnings  Earnings of $14.5 million (in millions)  Lower retail sales volumes due to 10%-30% milder temperatures across our service $15.0 territory - approximately $2 million impact to $14.5 earnings  Benef

  16. Slide 16: Natural Gas Utility

    Natural Gas Utility 2026 Q1 Earnings Warmer weather, largely offset by rate relief Earnings  Earnings of $44.2 million (in millions)  Rate relief in Washington, Idaho, Montana, and Wyoming $44.7 $44.2  Total retail customers grew 1.5% year-over-year  Temperatures 10%-30% warmer across service te

  17. Slide 17: Pipeline

    Pipeline 2026 Q1 Earnings Decreased interruptible storage withdrawals impacted earnings Earnings  Earnings of $15.3 million (in millions)  Lower interruptible storage withdrawals $17.2 $15.3  Higher operation and maintenance expense  Partially offset by continued demand for short- term transport

  18. Slide 18: Equity & Funding Plan

    Equity & Funding Plan • In March 2026, the company settled a portion of the forward sale agreements related to its December 2025 public offering, resulting in the issuance of 4.3 million shares of common stock for proceeds of $81.3 million • The company had previously stated that it expects to issue

  19. Slide 19: Strong Balance Sheet

    Strong Balance Sheet 47.2% debt-to-total capitalization ratio as of March 31, 2026 60% equity layer for FERC-regulated pipeline Manageable debt Equity layer ~50% for utility jurisdictions maturities and new issuances through current forecast Target strong investment grade credit ratings profile to s

  20. Slide 20: Appendix

    Appendix

  21. Slide 21: Supportive Utility Jurisdictions and Favorable Recovery Mechanisms

    Supportive Utility Jurisdictions and Favorable Recovery Mechanisms Electric Jurisdictions Jurisdiction Montana North Dakota South Dakota Wyoming Rate Base ($mm)1 $342 $1,117 $86 $103 Allowed ROE 9.65% 9.75% 3 9.7% Rate Case Filing (year) 20252 2022 2023 2025 Regulatory Mechanisms Fuel Clause Adjustm

  22. Slide 22: Supportive Utility Jurisdictions and Favorable Recovery Mechanisms

    Supportive Utility Jurisdictions and Favorable Recovery Mechanisms Gas Jurisdictions Jurisdiction Minnesota Montana North Dakota South Dakota Wyoming Idaho Washington Oregon Rate Base ($mm)1 $53 $141 $275 $93 $36 $588 $783 $216 Allowed ROE 9.53% 9.60% 9.90% 2 9.65% 9.50% 9.50% 9.40% Rate Case Filing

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