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Ballard Power Systems — Online Webinar: The Path to Commercial Fuel Cell Buses (May 2012)
30 slides from Ballard Power Systems's conference presentation, May 17, 2012
Slide 1: The Path to Commercial Fuel Cell Buses… Applying Lessons from History
Online Webinar May 17, 2012 The Path to Commercial Fuel Cell Buses… Applying Lessons from History (Audio not available) Hosted by Sponsored by
Slide 2: Housekeeping Items
Housekeeping Items: Recording of Slides: A recording of this webinar and a link to the slides will be sent via email to all attendees following the event Submit Questions During the Webinar: Use the question box on your screen Additional Questions After the Webinar: lauren@cte.tv 2
Slide 3: Agenda
Agenda: National Fuel Cell Bus Program CTE ‐ new website & features Lessons Learned ‐ the Diesel‐Hybrid Experience Robert Devine, BAE Systems Path to Fuel Cell Bus Commercialization Jaimie Levin, Alameda‐Contra Costa Transit District (AC Transit) Q&A 3
Slide 4: FTA Fuel Cell Technology Research
FTA Fuel Cell Technology Research Innovative technology for better transit solutions Transit leader in clean fuels Part of FTA’s efforts to – • improve transit efficiency • provide environmentally‐sustainable transportation solutions Fuel cells for transit – • reliable, fuel efficient, zero‐em
Slide 5: National Fuel Cell Bus Program (NFCBP)
National Fuel Cell Bus Program (NFCBP) Research, development & demonstration program to advance commercialization Focused on transit needs In cooperation with industry Over $85M Federal funding to date (FY2006‐12) Target: 12 year bus, $600K+ 5
Slide 6: Fuel Cell Bus Volumes: Where are we now?
Fuel Cell Bus Volumes Where are we now? 35 30 Number of FCEBs 25 Fuel cell buses less costly and more 20 reliable over time 15 10 Multiple technologies & platforms 5 0 Demonstrations throughout U.S. “Buy America” compliant buses Supply chain emerging Advances benefit hybrids, battery bus
Slide 7: Remaining challenges
Remaining challenges Cost‐competitiveness Reliability / durability Integration Hydrogen supply Nascent industry 7
Slide 8: Moving forward
Moving forward 11 projects announced in April 2012 Revised targets with DOE New solicitation for FY 2012 funding ($10‐13.5M) • opportunities for transit agencies to get involved Procurements through capital programs 8
Slide 9: Fuel Cell Bus Performance
Fuel Cell Bus Performance Relative to where hybrid bus performance was in 2002, fuel cell bus performance compared favorably to diesel buses in 2011 Sources: July 2002 DOE/NREL, New York City Transit Diesel Hybrid-Electric Buses: Final Report & NREL ZEBA performance data Sept 2011 9 through March 20
Slide 10: www.GoFuelCellBus.com
center for transportation and the environment www.GoFuelCellBus.com NEW tool! Research state of the technology worldwide Searchable database Background information Current news 10
Slide 11: Robert Devine, Program Manager, BAE Systems
Robert Devine Program Manager BAE Systems 11
Slide 12: Hybrid History Of Introduction
Hybrid History Of Introduction Growing Trend of North America Hybrid Bus Production 12 Source APTA
Slide 13: Diesel Electric Hybrid Buses – Technology Adoption
Diesel Electric Hybrid Buses – Technology Adoption Projected Hybrid Electric Vehicles Annual Production in 2020 Class 6‐8 Hybrid Trucks Hybrid Transit Buses 71,760 14,253 Total Hybrid Market in North America and Europe within 10 years is expected to be 71,000 trucks and 14,000 HD buses In Asia, Indi
Slide 14: Total Transit Bus Production & Hybrid Penetration Rates
Total Transit Bus Production & Hybrid Penetration Rates Key Observations • Stimulus spending (2009) masked market downturn • Cyclical market – industry lags economic up/downs 1% 1% 7% 6% • Gov’t revenue is a key indicator for future 0% 3% production rates • Hybrid penetration rates appear to be flat
Slide 15: Value and Benefits of the Technology
Value and Benefits of the Technology Value / Benefits • Lower operating costs • Better fuel economy • More reliable • Reduced maintenance Improving Bus Price • Favorable subsidies ‐ reduced cost share hybrid’s value • Exceeds strict regulations – compliance margin proposition • Public benefit • Sign
Slide 16: Natural Progression to Electric ZEV
Natural Progression to Electric ZEV Remove Combustion Engine, Add Batteries or Fuel Cell or Trolley Poles Change to Electric Accessories Conventional Series Hybrid 16
Slide 17: Take Aways – Lessons from Hybrid Experience
Take Aways – Lessons from Hybrid Experience Critical Success Factors for New Technology Introduction Strong supply base ‐ committed to technical performance and product maturity Engaged large successful early adopter ‐ strong user base Government support – incentives to overcome technology cos
Slide 18: Jaimie Levin, Director of Environmental Technology, AC Transit
Jaimie Levin Director of Environmental Technology Alameda‐Contra Costa Transit District (AC Transit) 18
Slide 19: 1st Generation Bus (2005 – 2010)
1st Generation Bus (2005 – 2010) • >267,000 Miles • >700,000 Passengers • 65% Better Fuel Economy • 43% GHG Reductions (Reforming Natural Gas; 100% reduction with solar or wind hydrogen) 19
Slide 20: Phase 2 – Bay Area Demo
Phase 2 – Bay Area Demo • $65 Million • 12 new buses in 2010 and 2011 • 5 transit agencies (>2,500 vehicles) • Shared service • Shared training 20
Slide 21: 3rd Generation Bus
3rd Generation Bus • > 286,000 miles (>7,000 mi/week) • 83% to 100% better fuel economy • > 12,000 fuel cell hours • 553,000 miles – 1st and 3rd generation buses • Over 1.8 million passengers in the Bay Area (>100,000/Month) 21
Slide 22: 18 Line – 24 Mile RT
18 Line – 24 Mile RT UC Campus 2.5‐mile grade at approximately 5% Berkeley Albany Oakland Pull‐ Pull‐in Total Average Speed Daily Miles Miles/DGE Kg/Day out Hours Base Diesel: 4.01 05:00 00:03 19 9 Miles/Hour 170 Miles 7.36; high of 7.97 24‐28 kg 22
Slide 23: Benefits
Benefits Passengers • Quiet (Neighborhoods) • Smooth • No vibration • Clean and odorless Drivers (>1000) • Range • Sustained power • Smooth • Handling Mechanics (3) • Clean • Fewer parts • Durability U.S. DOT Secretary Ray LaHood 23
Slide 24: Passenger Survey – 493 Passengers
Passenger Survey – 493 Passengers • Funded by Federal Transit Administration • ACT’s Fuel Cell Program – 84% Positive • Program’s effect on opinion of local Government – 70% Improved • Importance of considering alternative fuels – 90% Yes • Support expanded fuel cell bus program at AC Transit – 81%
Slide 25: Earlier Stations – 85,109 kg
Earlier Stations – 85,109 kg Electrolyzer – 7,000 kg Mobile: Liquid to Gas w/ Cryogenic Pump – 23,000 kg Onsite Reformer – 55,109 kg 25
Slide 26: Emeryville Station – 600 Kg/Day Capacity
Emeryville Station – 600 Kg/Day Capacity Solar electrolysis Liquid hydrogen Fast fueling (4kg to 5kg/min) Buses (360 kg/day) Cars (240 kg/day) August 2011 (25,000 kg to date) Temporary shutdown 26
Slide 27: Comparisons with Control Diesel Fleet
Comparisons with Control Diesel Fleet Fuel Cell Fuel Cell Diesel Control Metric Sep 2011 thru Mar 2012 April 2012 Fleet 9/11‐3/12 Availability 52% 84.4% 77% Miles per Diesel Gallon 7.36 (7.97 High) N/A 4.01 Equivalent 5,105 MBRC – Vehicle 1,778 2,212 Chargeable MBRC ‐‐ Propulsion 2,667 6,126 3,573 M
Slide 28: Commercial Cost Targets (Industry Analysis)
Commercial Cost Targets (Industry Analysis) Fuel Cell Electric Bus Commercialization Targets $3.5 450 400 400 $3.0 350 $2.5 300 Unit Price ($M) $2.0 250 200 $1.5 200 150 $1.0 <$1.0 100 $0.5 20 50 5 16 $0.0 0 Number of Fuel Cell Buses Volume Cost “Building a Commercially Viable National Fuel Cell Ele
Slide 29: End User Key Takeaways
End User Key Takeaways Enhanced Performance: Passengers, drivers, mechanics Economic Benefits: Fuel economy and expected life cycle cost reductions Environmental Benefits: Criteria emissions/GHG reductions Reliability and Durability: Steady curve upwards Capital Cost Reduction: Increasing
Slide 30: Q&A
Q&A Center for Transportation & the Environment lauren@cte.tv National Fuel Cell Bus Program Christina.Gikakis@dot.gov BAE Systems robert.w.devine@baesystems.com Alameda‐Contra Costa Transit District (AC Transit) jlevin@actransit.org Hosted by Sponsored by
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