Millicom International Cellular S.a. · NASDAQ:TIGO

Millicom International Cellular — Q3 2022 Earnings Presentation

32 slides from Millicom International Cellular's earnings presentation, Oct 27, 2022

  1. Slide 1: Staying the course

    Staying the course Third Quarter 2022 Mauricio Ramos, CEO Sheldon Bruha, CFO October 27th, 2022 Millicom International Cellular S.A.

  2. Slide 2: Safe Harbor

    Safe Harbor Cautionary Language Concerning Forward-Looking Statements Statements included herein that are not historical facts, including without limitation statements concerning future strategy, plans, objectives, expectations and intentions, projected financial results, liquidity, growth and prosp

  3. Slide 3: Non-IFRS measures

    Non-IFRS measures This presentation contains financial measures not prepared in accordance with IFRS. These measures are referred to as “non-IFRS” measures and include: non-IFRS service revenue, non-IFRS EBITDA, and non-IFRS Capex, among others defined below. Annual growth rates for these non-IFRS m

  4. Slide 4: Q3 2022 Highlights

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  5. Slide 5: Financial highlights

    Financial highlights 2.7% Q3 22 Service revenue Organic growth2 4.5% Q3 22 OCF Organic growth1,2 Excluding one-off 1) Adjusted for early termination of software contract. 2) Group financial information does not include Honduras, which is not consolidated. Non-IFRS measure. Please refer to the non-IF

  6. Slide 6: Growth shifting amidst softer macro

    Growth shifting amidst softer macro Service Rev. 2021 2022 Ambition YTD Growth1 Economy High inflation Macro accelerating Slowing economy Mobile Post-COVID Resumed Prepaid surge Postpaid migration 3.6% Low single-digit Home Work from home Return to office Homeschooling Back to school 2.9% High singl

  7. Slide 7: Mobile migration to postpaid continues

    Mobile migration to postpaid continues Postpaid base growing rapidly... …driving service revenue Group postpaid customers (m) 8.9% Postpaid customers as % of total 6.2 5.3 Postpaid mobile Service revenue organic growth1 35% Postpaid mobile Q3 21 Q3 22 As a % of mobile service revenue 14% 15% 1) Grou

  8. Slide 8: Continuing to invest in Home

    Continuing to invest in Home Build ramping up Stable net adds Catalysts Group HFC / FTTH Homes passed net additions (‘000) Group HFC / FTTH Customer Relationship Net Additions (‘000) Short-term: • Pricing discipline 254 85 • World Cup 74 • Vix+ La Liga 214 59 Long-term: 153 155 • Low country penetra

  9. Slide 9: Positioning Tigo as home for soccer in the region

    Positioning Tigo as home for soccer in the region International events Local Leagues Community outreach 9

  10. Slide 10: B2B continues to perform strongly

    B2B continues to perform strongly Our Strategy Sustained growth Driven by digital B2B Organic Service Revenue Growth1 Group Digital B2B Organic Service Revenue growth1 5 Digital as % of B2B service revenue 1 5.7% 5.9% 35% Mission Become the most 4.9% trusted ally for businesses in their digital jour

  11. Slide 11: Spotlight on largest markets

    Spotlight on largest markets Guatemala Colombia Panama Sustaining leadership Continued mobile strength Consolidating market -0.5% -2.6% 5.7% 6.6% 3.9% 6.0% Service revenue1 EBITDA1 Service revenue1 EBITDA1 Service revenue1 EBITDA1 • Gained significant mobile • Mobile up 14%1 • Mobile up 9%1 market s

  12. Slide 12: Strong investment continues

    Strong investment continues 5G +623k ~17% Launched Homes passed YTD In Guatemala HFC/FTTH Net Additions 79% +1,500 FY 22 Capex to sales 4G Coverage Points of Presence Net Additions YTD 1) Group financial information does not include Honduras, which is not consolidated. Non-IFRS measure. Please refer

  13. Slide 13: TowerCo and TigoMoney advancing

    TowerCo And TigoMoney advancing TowerCo TigoMoney TigoMoney Perimeter App launched Scope 2.0 determined in Honduras and Bolivia Branding Nano-lending Lending Brand chosen pilot ongoing Merchants Finalizing Large new MLAs MLA drafts merchants online 13 13

  14. Slide 14: Culture and ESG Recognitions

    Culture and ESG Recognitions Rank Company 1 DHL Express 2 Hilton B 3 Cisco 4 Salesforce 5 Millicom | Tigo 14

  15. Slide 15: Q3 2022 Financial Review

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  16. Slide 16: Macroeconomic backdrop challenging

    Macroeconomic backdrop challenging Inflation has increased GDP growth slowing Average CPI YoY Inflation in Tigo Markets (%) Average GDP growth for Tigo countries Source: Bloomberg Source: IMF October 2022 World Economic Outlook 9.5% 8.1% 6.0% 4.0% 2.8% 3.1% 3.2% 2.7% 1.7% 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 4.

  17. Slide 17: Group Service Revenue

    Group Service Revenue 1 YoY Organic Service Revenue1 Growth Q3 21 – Q3 22 +2.7% 1,280 2.7% Organic Service 951 Revenue1 Growth Q3 21 M&A, FX Rebased Mobile Fixed Q3 22 and Others Q3 21 1) Group financial information does not include Honduras, which is not consolidated. Non-IFRS measure. Please refer

  18. Slide 18: Q3 2022 Service Revenue by Country

    Q3 2022 Service Revenue by Country Service revenue ($m), and YoY local currency growth2 1 Guatemala (26% of Group) Colombia (24% of Group) Bolivia (12% of Group) Panama (12% of Group) -0.5% +5.7% -0.6% +3.9% 340 303 152 158 Q3 21 Q3 22 Q3 21 Q3 22 Q3 21 Q3 22 Q3 21 Q3 22 Paraguay (10% of Group) El S

  19. Slide 19: Group EBITDA

    Group EBITDA 1 YoY Organic EBITDA1 Growth -0.6% Q3 21 – Q3 22 Key Drivers Organic EBITDA1 Growth A Energy Excluding one-off -0.6% Employee costs -1.9% 539 546 Commissions A B 352 TigoMoney and TowerCo investment • B Early termination of Q3 21 M&A, FX Rebased Revenue Direct Net Opex Q3 22 One-off Q3

  20. Slide 20: Margins broadly stable despite macro

    Margins broadly stable despite macro Group EBITDA1 Margin (%) 40.3% 40.0% 39.9% 39.0% 39.4%2 Inflation impacts • Energy • Employee costs Additional investments • Tigo Money and TowerCo Carve-outs Pricing actions in Q3 • Home – across our footprint • Postpaid – in 4 markets • Prepaid – in 2 markets P

  21. Slide 21: Q3 2022 EBITDA by Country

    Q3 2022 EBITDA by Country 1 EBITDA2 ($m), and YoY local currency growth2 Guatemala (36% of Group) Colombia (17% of Group) Panama (13% of Group) Paraguay (11% of Group) +6.6% +6.0% -2.6% -2.7% 208 97 75 62 Q3 21 Q3 22 Q3 21 Q3 22 Q3 21 Q3 22 Q3 21 Q3 22 53.6% 52.1% 29.8% 30.4% 44.7% 45.2% 45.6% 43.7%

  22. Slide 22: Group OCF

    Group OCF 1 YoY Organic OCF1 Growth Q3 21 – Q3 22 4.5% +4.5% • A Capex phasing Organic OCF1 Growth Excluding one-off +2.0% 286 294 B• Early termination of B software contract A 122 Q3 21 M&A, FX Rebased EBITDA Capex Q3 22 One-off Q3 22 & Others Q3 21 Ex One-off 20.6% 21.2% OCF1 Margin 1) Adjusted fo

  23. Slide 23: Net financial obligations and leverage reducing

    Net financial obligations and leverage reducing Group financial obligations1 ($m) -833 1,025 7,006 6,814 35 717 263 290 178 5,981 Net debt1 EFCF Rights Offering Africa Exit Panama FX & Others Net debt1 Leases Net financial 31-Dec-21 After Africa Minority 30-Sep-22 obligations1 30-Sep-22 Net debt to

  24. Slide 24: Well balanced debt profile

    Well balanced debt profile Q3 22 Average maturity 5.9 Years Average cost of debt 6.0% Fixed or Swapped 82% Cable 31s Comcel Telecel 29s Onda $808m $900m $550m 28s $675m $600m 4.500% 5.125% 5.875% $450m 6.250% 4.500% 5.125% 26s SEK 2bn $148m 4.913%1 6.625% 1) Fully swapped rate 24 2) Fully swapped cu

  25. Slide 25: Outlook

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  26. Slide 26: OCF on target for ~10% OCF growth in 2022

    OCF on target for ~10% OCF growth in 2022 1 Capex phasing is different in 2022 ($m) 1,040 ~1,000 699 655 385 ~300 9M Q4 Full Year ~17% 2021 2022 Forecast Capex/sales 2022 1) Capex has been adjusted to exclude Africa. Group financial information does not include Honduras, which is not consolidated. N

  27. Slide 27: 2022 EFCF outlook

    2022 EFCF outlook 2022 EFCF Quarterly EFCF1 excluding Africa ($m) 150-200 26 1 -63 Q1 22 Q2 22 Q3 22 Q4 22 2022 1) Group financial information does not include Honduras, which is not consolidated. Non-IFRS measure. Please refer to the non-IFRS disclosures in this presentation for a description of no

  28. Slide 28: Appendix

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  29. Slide 29: Group Financial Highlights – Q3 2022

    Group Financial Highlights – Q3 2022 Group Consolidated Financial Statements1 Selected P&L data Key Observations $ million Q3 22 Q3 21 % Var Revenue 1,388 1,006 37.9% A •A Consolidation of Guatemala operations Cost of sales (369) (288) (28.2)% Operating expenses (479) (367) (30.7)% •B Exit from Ghan

  30. Slide 30: Capital Structure

    Capital Structure Financial obligation profile As of September 30, 2022 Latam HQ 68% 32% Bonds Banks Leases 64% 23% 13% Fixed or Swapped Variable 82% 18% Local Other 40% 60% Less than 5Y 5Y or more 28% 72% 30 30 *Excluding Leases. El Salvador's official unit of currency is the U.S. dollar, while Pan

  31. Slide 31: Financial obligations by country

    Financial obligations by country 1 Honduras Guatemala: (not consolidated): Gross: $1,677m Gross: $430m Net: $1,538m Net: $343m Nicaragua: Leverage: 1.80x Leverage: 1.35x Gross: $276m Group: Net: $255m Gross: $7,890m El Salvador: Leverage: 2.36x Gross: $290m Net: $7,006m Net: $273m Of which Leases: L

  32. Slide 32: * \LLICOM ticd

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