Selective Insurance Group, Inc. · NASDAQ:SIGI

Selective Insurance — 2018 Bank of America Merrill Lynch Insurance Conference

28 slides from Selective Insurance's conference presentation, Feb 14, 2018

  1. Slide 1: Selective Insurance Group, Inc.

    SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. February 14, 2018 2018 Bank of America Merrill Lynch Insurance Conference

  2. Slide 2: Safe Harbor Statement

    CLICK TO EDIT MASTER TITLE STYLE PAGE 2 SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT  Edit Master text styles In this presentation, we make certain statements and reference other information that are “forward-looking statements” as defined in the o Securities Private SecondLitigation level Reform Act of 1995 (“PSLRA”). T

  3. Slide 3: Strategic Overview

    CLICK TO EDIT MASTER TITLE STYLE PAGE 3  Edit Master text styles o Second level  Third level  Fourth level  Fifth level STRATEGIC OVERVIEW Greg Murphy Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

  4. Slide 4: A Super-Regional Company with National Capabilities

    A SUPER-REGIONAL CLICK COMPANY TO EDIT MASTER WITH NATIONAL CAPABILITIES TITLE STYLE PAGE 4  Edit Master text styles 25 o Second level state footprint  Third level significant expansion plans $3.4B Market Cap (as of 2/12/17)  Fourth level  Fifth years of financial strength level and 90+ superior

  5. Slide 5: Our Sustainable Competitive Advantages

    CLICK OUR SUSTAINABLE TO EDIT MASTER COMPETITIVE TITLE STYLE ADVANTAGES PAGE 5  Enables effective management of pricing and retention True  franchise value Edit Master textwith “ivy styles league” o distribution partners  Increase share of wallet and new agent appointments Second level  Third le

  6. Slide 6: True Franchise Value with Distribution Partners

    TRUE FRANCHISE CLICK VALUETITLE TO EDIT MASTER WITHSTYLE DISTRIBUTION PARTNERS PAGE 6 Standard Commercial Standard Personal E&S  Edit Master text styles (78% of 2017 NPW) (13% of 2017 NPW) (9% of 2017 NPW) o Second level  Third level  Fourth level  Fifth level 25 States 13 States All 50 States 1

  7. Slide 7: Unique Underwriting Field Model Enabled by Sophisticated Tools and Technology

    UNIQUE UNDERWRITING FIELD MODEL ENABLED BY SOPHISTICATED CLICK TO EDIT MASTER TITLE STYLE TOOLS AND TECHNOLOGY PAGE 7  Edit Master text styles  Empowered field underwriting model Small o Second level Business  Local decision making supported by Team  Third level centralized expertise  Fourth le

  8. Slide 8: Deliver Superior Omni-Channel Customer Experience

    CLICK TOAEDIT DELIVER SUPERIOR MASTER OMNI-CHANNEL TITLE STYLE CUSTOMER EXPERIENCE PAGE 8  Changing expectations from customers, and  Edit Master text styles potential disruptive threats from traditional and o Second level non-traditional competitors  Third level  Fourth level  Partnering with

  9. Slide 9: 2017: Excellent Operating Performance

    CLICK TO EDIT MASTER 2017: EXCELLENT TITLE STYLE OPERATING PERFORMANCE PAGE 9  2017 pure written price increases by segment:  Edit Master text styles o Commercial Lines – 2.9% GAAP Combined Ratios o Second level o Personal Lines – 3.0% 110% Underlying Combined Ratio  Third level o E&S – 5.0% 107.

  10. Slide 10: Long History of Disciplined & Profitable Growth

    LONG HISTORY CLICK OF DISCIPLINED TO EDIT MASTER & PROFITABLE GROWTH TITLE STYLE PAGE 10  EditHistorical Master textNet Premiums Written styles COMMERCIAL LINES GROWTH Lower o Second level Risk $2.5B Managed Premium DRIVERS: Combined  Third level opportunity Volume During Soft  Fourth Market leve

  11. Slide 11: Commercial Lines Geo-Expansion Enhances Growth Opportunities

    COMMERCIAL LINES GEO-EXPANSION ENHANCES GROWTH CLICK TO EDIT MASTER TITLE STYLE OPPORTUNITIES PAGE 11  Edit Master text styles  Diversification and spread of risk o Second level o Targeting 30 fully operational states  Third level o Remainder to support multi-state accounts  Fourth level  Lever

  12. Slide 12: Standard Commercial: A Profit Engine

    STANDARD CLICK COMMERCIAL TO EDIT (78%STYLE MASTER TITLE OF BUSINESS): A PROFIT ENGINE PAGE 12 ($ in billions)  Edit Master text styles  Focused on disciplined and profitable growth NPW GAAP Combined Ratio 110% $2.2B o Second level  Third level 7% CAGR of NPW  Drivers of profitability are: from

  13. Slide 13: A Portfolio Approach to Underwriting

    A PORTFOLIO CLICK TO EDITAPPROACH TO UNDERWRITING MASTER TITLE STYLE PAGE 13 Commercial Lines Pricing By Retention Group  Portfolio management approach yields higher  Edit Master text styles retention and rate CLAS Pure Rate % Premium Renewed o Second level Point of Renewal Retention 9%  Third le

  14. Slide 14: Sophisticated Tools and Actionable Data

    SOPHISTICATED CLICK TOOLS AND TO EDIT MASTER TITLEACTIONABLE STYLE DATA PAGE 14 SIGI Pricing CLIPS Pricing SIGI Retention  Edit Master text styles o Second level 84% 83%  Third level Renewal Pure Price (%) 82%  Fourth level 5.9% 7.6% 5.9% 6.0%  Fifth level Retention (%) 6.2% 5.6% 80% 3.0% 80% 79

  15. Slide 15: Standard Personal Lines (13% of Business)

    STANDARD CLICK PERSONAL TO EDIT MASTERLINES TITLE (13% OF BUSINESS) STYLE PAGE 15 HOMEOWNERS (88.2% combined ratio in 2017)  ($ in millions) Edit Master text styles NPW GAAP Combined Ratio  Target of 90% combined ratio in normal CAT year (14 o Second level $400M 120% points)  Third level  Fourth

  16. Slide 16: Excess & Surplus (9% of Business)

    CLICK EXCESSTO& EDIT MASTER SURPLUS (9% TITLE STYLE OF BUSINESS) PAGE 16  Focus on target combined ratio – top-line changes will ($ in millions)  Edit MasterNPW text stylesGAAP Combined Ratio be based on market conditions $250M 140% o Second level  Targeted price increases being implemented to dr

  17. Slide 17: Financial Overview

    CLICK TO EDIT MASTER TITLE STYLE PAGE 17  Edit Master text styles o Second level  Third level  Fourth level  Fifth level FINANCIAL OVERVIEW Mark Wilcox EVP, Chief Financial Officer

  18. Slide 18: A Focus on Non-GAAP Operating ROE and Growth in Book Value per Share

    A FOCUS ON NON-GAAP OPERATING ROE* AND GROWTH IN BOOK CLICK TO EDIT MASTER TITLE STYLE VALUE PER SHARE PAGE 18 Historical Book Value per Share Growth  Edit Master text styles Meeting long-term financial target for a non-GAAP $32 o Second level operating ROE* of 300 basis points above our WACC $29.2

  19. Slide 19: Lower Risk Profile and Strong Financial Strength

    LOWERTO CLICK RISK PROFILE EDIT MASTERAND STRONG TITLE STYLEFINANCIAL STRENGTH PAGE 19 A Lower Risk Profile  Focused on low- to medium-hazard business  Edit Master text styles o Second level  Strong balance sheet underpinned by a conservative  Third level approach to:  Fourth level o Managing t

  20. Slide 20: Conservative Investment Portfolio

    CONSERVATIVE CLICK INVESTMENT TO EDIT MASTER TITLEPORTFOLIO STYLE PAGE 20  Investment Edit Master text styles Portfolio Breakdown as of 12/31/17  Fixed income and short-term investments comprise o Second level 95% of the investment portfolio: $5.7B of Investments  Third level o “AA-” average cred

  21. Slide 21: Catastrophe Loss Impact Has Been Below Industry Average

    CATASTROPHE CLICK LOSS IMPACT TO EDIT MASTER TITLEHAS BEEN BELOW INDUSTRY AVERAGE STYLE PAGE 21 Impact of Catastrophe Losses on Combined Ratio  Catastrophe loss impact over the past 15 years  Edit Master text styles has averaged: o Second level Catastrophe o 5.0 percentage points for the P&C indus

  22. Slide 22: Prudent Reinsurance Program

    PRUDENT CLICK REINSURANCE TO EDIT PROGRAM MASTER TITLE STYLE PAGE 22  2018 property catastrophe treaty structure: Net Single-Event Edit Master textHurricane styles Loss* as a % of Equity o Second level o Coverage of $735M in excess of $40M retention (up to 1-in-250 year event level) 24%  Third le

  23. Slide 23: A Strong Reserving Track Record

    A STRONG CLICK RESERVING TO EDIT MASTERTRACK RECORD TITLE STYLE PAGE 23 Impact of Reserve Development on our Combined Ratio  Disciplined reserving practices:  Edit Master text styles 4.0% o Second level o Quarterly actuarial reserve reviews  Third level o Semi-annual independent review  Fourth l

  24. Slide 24: Strong Non-GAAP Operating ROE in 2017 and Well Positioned for Future

    STRONG NON-GAAP OPERATING ROE* IN 2017 AND WELL POSITIONED CLICK TOFUTURE FOR THE EDIT MASTER TITLE STYLE PAGE 24 14% 7.3%  Edit Master text styles o Second level 11.4%  Third level (2.1)% 8.5%  Fourth level 7% 6.2%Fifth level 0% Underwriting Investments Other* Non-GAAP Estimated Operating WACC

  25. Slide 25: 2018 Combined Ratio Plan: Underlying Margin Improvement

    2018 COMBINED CLICK TO EDIT MASTER TITLE–STYLE RATIO PLAN UNDERLYING MARGIN IMPROVEMENT PAGE 25 Reconciliation of 2018 GAAP Combined Ratio Guidance  Targeting price increases to keep up  Edit Master text styles with loss inflation o Second 2.1% level  Third level  Assumes no prior-year casualty

  26. Slide 26: Strong Capital and Liquidity Position, Focus on Expenses

    CLICK TOCAPITAL STRONG EDIT MASTER AND LIQUIDITY TITLE STYLE POSITION, FOCUS ON EXPENSES PAGE 26  Strong capital position with 20.4% debt-to-capital ratio  Edit Master text styles o Second level  Target NPW/surplus ratio of ~1.4x (lower end of historical range) CAPITAL AND   Third level Growing

  27. Slide 27: Our Investment Proposition

    OUR INVESTMENT PROPOSITION CLICK TO EDIT MASTER TITLE STYLE PAGE 27  Leveraging our competitive strengths to generate sustained  Edit Master text styles financial outperformance o Second level o Strong franchise value with “ivy league” distribution partners  Third level o Unique field model enabl

  28. Slide 28: Selective Insurance Group, Inc.

    SELECTIVE INSURANCE GROUP, INC. February 14, 2018 2018 Bank of America Merrill Lynch Insurance Conference

Selective Insurance Group — 2018 Bank of America Merrill Lynch Insurance Conference on 6ix