Dynex Capital, Inc. · NYSE:DX
Dynex Capital — Q2 2023 Earnings Presentation
31 slides from Dynex Capital's earnings presentation, Jul 24, 2023
Slide 1: Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Presentation
Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Presentation July 24, 2023 1
Slide 2: Safe Harbor Statement
Safe Harbor Statement NOTE: This presentation contains certain statements that are not historical facts and that constitute “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Statements in this presentation addressing expectations, assumptions, b
Slide 3: Performance Highlights
Performance Highlights Comprehensive Income (Loss) Book Value Total Economic Return(1) (per common share) (per common share) $(0.54) $0.79 $13.80 $14.20 (3.7)% 5.7% Q1 23 Q2 23 Q1 23 Q2 23 Q1 23 Q2 23 Net Income (Loss) Leverage(2) Average Earning Assets (per common share) (inclusive of TBAs) $(0.81)
Slide 4: Navigating this Decade's Volatility
Navigating this Decade's Volatility Our disciplined approach delivers an attractive risk-adjusted return and consistent dividend during a volatile market environment Building Long-Term Value $24 1.70% $22.12 $21.85 $21.19 $21.25 $21.21 $20.79 1.60% $20.74 $21 $2.05 30yr Par Coupon Spread to 7yr Trea
Slide 5: Dynex Performance
Dynex Performance Experience in managing assets through multiple economic cycles and a disciplined investment process results in Dynex long-term outperformance during periods of high volatility Cumulative Total Shareholder Returns 19.1% 20.4% 13.4% 5.9% 5.9% (1.3)% (2.1)% (10.9)% (13.2)% (15.9)% (21
Slide 6: Primary Components of Portfolio Returns (excluding mark-to-market)
Primary Components of Portfolio Returns (excluding mark-to-market) The impact of rising financing costs has been mostly offset by deferred tax hedge gains. Interest Income (1) TBA Drop Income (Loss) (2) $16,282 $42,212 $11,074 $30,528 $30,846 $5,522 $20,404 $1,457 $18,335 $(2,152) Q2-22 Q3-22 Q4-22
Slide 7: Key Long-Term Macroeconomic Themes
Key Long-Term Macroeconomic Themes Global fundamentals are shifting as the disinflation of the last 20 years is being met by a series of inflationary pressures. Debt dynamics are becoming a key determinant in the trajectory of growth and interest rates. Central bank policy continues to play a major
Slide 8: Key Long-Term Macroeconomic Themes
Key Long-Term Macroeconomic Themes We remain at a significant inflection point in global dynamics, with the next few years being critical to determining the direction of the eventual path forward. Short- and medium-term trends point to upward pressure on inflation and bond yields, although lower rat
Slide 9: Market Environment and Positioning
Market Environment and Positioning Favorable investing environment continues as credit spreads on assets are wider, and when hedged over the medium to long term, currently provide mid to high teens ROE. We are positioned for a general rise in macroeconomic and market volatility with high levels of l
Slide 10: Long-Term Par Coupon 30-year Agency RMBS Returns
Long-Term Par Coupon 30-year Agency RMBS Returns We remain at historically wide levels surpassed only by the levels seen during the Great Financial Crisis of 2008 and we believe we are in a period of persistent investment opportunities. Long Term 30 Year Agency RMBS Returns (1) (2) (1) Chart is indi
Slide 11: Well-Positioned for a Favorable Investment Environment
Well-Positioned for a Favorable Investment Environment Persistent investment opportunity in Agency RMBS as the largest non-economic buyer exits and unanticipated supply from bank sales enters the market. We believe our book value preservation and liquidity put us in excellent position to capitalize
Slide 12: Agency RMBS Market Dynamics and Portfolio Strategy
Agency RMBS Market Dynamics and Portfolio Strategy Agency MBS spreads can remain range bound at today’s wider levels with further widening providing opportunities to add assets. The key is managing the size of the balance sheet to add value during volatility. Fundamentals: Valuations supported, Defa
Slide 13: Investment Portfolio (as of dates indicated)
Investment Portfolio (as of dates indicated) (1) Methodically grew balance sheet with reallocation to specified pools in higher coupons as spreads widened and payups declined. Diversified portfolio remains constructed for flexibility. June 30, 2023 March 31, 2023 December 31, 2022 Portfolio Fair Val
Slide 14: Risk Position - Interest Rate and Spread Sensitivity
Risk Position - Interest Rate and Spread Sensitivity Portfolio profile reflects hedge ratio adjustments and convexity of up-in coupon position Interest Rate Sensitivity Credit Spread Sensitivity Percentage Change in Percentage Change in Common Shareholders’ Equity Common Shareholders’ Equity Paralle
Slide 15: Key Takeaways
Key Takeaways • Our investment strategy is constructed for a very favorable investment environment in agency RMBS tempered with a deep respect for the complexity of global macroeconomic conditions. • Mortgage spreads are at generationally wide levels and represent a historic and persistent period of
Slide 16: Why Dynex
Why Dynex Industry leader with a compelling long-term track record of delivering shareholder value Attractive dividend yield at Superior performance record Ability to drive earnings upside a discounted price-to-book with industry-leading 3-year with opportunistic deployment valuation on a high-quali
Slide 17: Disciplined Focus on the Long-Term
Disciplined Focus on the Long-Term DX has generated long-term returns exceeding the S&P 500 Financials and REM indices illustrating our ability to be successful in various rate and economic cycles Total Return (%) January 1, 2008 - June 30, 2023 Source: S&P Capital IQ Assumes reinvestment of dividen
Slide 18: Supplemental Information
SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION 18
Slide 19: Market Snapshot
Market Snapshot Common Stock Series C Preferred Stock NYSE Ticker DX DX PRC Shares Outstanding (as of June 30, 2023) 54.2 million 4.5 million Book Value per share (as of June 30, 2023) $14.20 — 2Q23 Dividends Declared per share $0.39 $0.43 Annualized Dividend Yield (as of closing on July 20, 2023) 1
Slide 20: Current Marginal Investment Returns (as of June 30, 2023)
Current Marginal Investment Returns (as of June 30, 2023) Agency RMBS Higher 15yr and 30yr Dynex Portfolio GSE Return Range 12-18% (1,2) Guaranteed AAA Rated Agency CMBS Agency RMBS offer CMBS and CMBS IO have offered a diversification opportunity at various FNMA DUS, FRE K-A1, A2, CMBS IO 96% gener
Slide 21: RMBS Portfolio Details (as of June 30, 2023)
RMBS Portfolio Details (as of June 30, 2023) Over 95% of our investments are comprised of Agency RMBS as of June 30, 2023. Par/Notional Amortized Fair Value % of Total WAVG Pay 3-month 3-month ($ in thousands) Value Cost (%) (1) Fair Value (%) Portfolio up to TBA Market Yield (3) WAVG Yield (1) CPR
Slide 22: CMBS and CMBS IO Portfolio Details
CMBS and CMBS IO Portfolio Details Less than 5% of our investment portfolio is comprised of CMBS and CMBS IO as of June 30, 2023. Portfolio Characteristics Financing Details 3-month Amortized % of Total WAVG Life WAVG WAVG Repo Equity ($ in thousands) Cost Fair Value Portfolio Remaining (1) Yield Ma
Slide 23: Fixed Income Market Update
Fixed Income Market Update (1) Average rate for Agency MBS per counterparty survey (2) Source: Bloomberg (3) Source: JPMorgan Data Query (2023 Model) (4) Bankrate.com 30 year Mortgage Rate Index ILM3NAVG 23
Slide 24: Pricing Matrix
Pricing Matrix (1) Source: JP Morgan DataQuery, Bloomberg and internal company data. Specified Pool Payups are quoted in percentage points of price above TBAs 24
Slide 25: Hedge Position Changes
Hedge Position Changes Our hedge strategy is constructed to maximize liquidity and protect the portfolio under various rate scenarios. • Futures offer hedge protection for interest rate changes. • Futures trade in a highly liquid market and have lower margin requirements compared to a similar swap i
Slide 26: Funding Strategy (as of June 30, 2023)
Funding Strategy (as of June 30, 2023) Fair Value Pledged as ◦ Weighted average repo borrowing Balance Weighted Collateral Collateral Type ($s in thousands) Average Rate ($s in thousands) rate of 5.18% for the second quarter of 2023, an increase of 57 basis Agency RMBS $3,924,082 5.25 % $4,146,397 p
Slide 27: Financial Performance
Financial Performance 2Q23 1Q23 Per Per Income Common Income Common ($ in thousands, except per share amounts) (Expense) Share* (Expense) Share* Interest income $ 42,212 $ 0.78 $ 30,846 $ 0.57 Interest expense (45,142) (0.83) (31,308) (0.58) GAAP net interest expense (2,930) (0.05) (462) (0.01) TBA
Slide 28: Book Value Rollforward
Book Value Rollforward Quarter Ended June 30, 2023 Per ($s in thousands except amounts per share) Common Equity Common Share Common equity, beginning of period (1) $ 743,328 $ 13.80 Earnings available for distribution (2) (14,637) Realized loss on sales of investments, net (51,601) Unrealized loss o
Slide 29: Reconciliation of GAAP Measures to Non-GAAP Measures
Reconciliation of GAAP Measures to Non-GAAP Measures (1) ($ in thousands except per share amounts) 2Q23 1Q23 4Q22 3Q22 2Q22 Comprehensive income (loss) to common shareholders $ 42,971 $ (28,852) $ 56,648 $ (99,705) $ (33,497) Adjustments: Change in fair value of investments (2) 60,556 (48,599) (48,2
Slide 30: Core Values
Core Values At Dynex, We Rely on Our Core Values to Sustain Our High-Performance Culture and to Consistently Generate Attractive, Long-Term Returns Stewardship Kindness We are thoughtful, ethical, and responsible fiduciary We can accomplish more together and build a culture like stewards of environm
Slide 31: Sound Strategy. Unique Advantages.
SOUND STRATEGY. UNIQUE ADVANTAGES. 4991 Lake Brook Drive, Suite 100 Glen Allen, Virginia 23060 804-217-5800 dynexcapital.com