Cognor Holding Sa · GPW:COG

Cognor Holding Sa — Q3 2024 Earnings Presentation

39 slides from Cognor Holding Sa's earnings presentation, Nov 19, 2024

  1. Slide 1: Q3 2024 Business and Financial Performance

    Introduction Group Overview Market Financials Q3 2024 Business and Financial Performance Capex Outlook November 19, 2024 Annexes 1

  2. Slide 2: Speaker

    Introduction Speaker Group Overview Market Financials Capex Outlook KRZYSZTOF ZOŁA Annexes 2

  3. Slide 3: Key Macro Trends

    Key Macro Trends Introduction Group Overview Market Increased geopolitical risk De-globalisation Protectionism and military spending onshoring, reshorig, and reindustrialisation of the EU Financials Long-term underinvestment CO2 emission costs in energy sector increase Capex Supply chain shortening

  4. Slide 4: Cognor – Modern EU Steelmaker

    Cognor – Modern EU Steelmaker Introduction Group Overview Market 30 years Exposure on mid European market Trackrecord of resilience crisis in the Polish steel industry in the 90s; hostile EU policy and of industry experience PL, DE, CZ, SK, HU, RO, LT, LV, ES VAT evasion practices in Poland Financia

  5. Slide 5: Cognor – Modern EU Steelmaker

    Cognor – Modern EU Steelmaker Introduction Group Overview Strong presence on Growth financing Rational and Market Polish scrap market indebtedness consequent CAPEX vertical integration stabilising balance sheet structure with aimed at volume expansion raw material supplies large long-term debt and c

  6. Slide 6: Q3 2024 Highlights

    Q3 2024 Highlights Introduction Group Overview Rising GPD growth Falling billet and finished Spreads shrinking for all Market 2.7 % Poland and 0.4% EU product prices billets and products YoY strongly compared to Q3 2023 strongly compared to Q3 2023 and and slightly compared to Q2 2024 slightly compa

  7. Slide 7: Structure

    Structure Introduction Group Stalowa Wola Gliwice Overview Market Financials Capex Stalowa Wola Stalowa Wola Siemianowice Śląskie (LSM) Zawiercie (ZW-WB) Kraków (Profil) Outlook Annexes 7

  8. Slide 8: Vertically Integrated Business Model

    Vertically Integrated Business Model Introduction EXTERNAL CLIENTS Group KATOWICE (PL) Overview Production of bras bars and zinc alloys (finished EXTERNAL CLIENTS products) Non- ferrous and Market ferrous POLAND ZAWIERCIE / scrap metal suppliers sourcing + processing SIEMIANOWICE (PL) of ferrous and

  9. Slide 9: Company Facilities

    Company Facilities Introduction Olsztyn Group Overview Headquater Market Gorzów Wielkopolski Scrap metal sites Poznań Grodzisk Mazowiecki Financials Łódź Steel roduction facilities Capex Tomaszów Mazowiecki Radom Lublin Non-ferrous metals Wrocław foundry Świdnica Outlook Gliwice PORAJ Kielce Opole Z

  10. Slide 10: Steel Production Facilities

    PORAJ ZAWIERCIE Introduction Steel Production Facilities GLIWICE SIEMIANOWICE ŚLĄSKIE STALOWA WOLA Melting shops & rolling mills KRAKÓW NOWA HUTA Group Overview Location Product portfolio Production capacities Technology Employment HSJ Stalowa Wola Billets, Bars, Plates • Billets: 300k tonnes • 1 EA

  11. Slide 11: History [1]

    History [1] Introduction Group Overview 1990 2000 2004 Przemysław Acquisition Acquisition of 82,6% of Sztuczkowski of ZW-WB, Ferrostal, a melting starts up Złomrex which a rolling mill shop in Gliwice Market trades in non-ferrous scrap in Zawiercie metals 2005 Acquisition of 100% of HSJ, Financials

  12. Slide 12: History [2]

    History [2] Introduction Group Overview 2007 2013 2023 Centrostal changes its Acquisition of 95% JAP acquisition name into Cognor, of Profil, a rolling Market integration of mill in Kraków distribution assets Financials Capex Outlook Złomrex acquires 64,4% of shares Cognor sells all distribution ass

  13. Slide 13: Organisational Chart

    Organisational Chart Introduction group structure & shareholders Group 22,17% Overview Free float 100% Market JAP Industries s.r.o. 100% 77,83% Przemysław Cognor Holding S. A. Sztuczkowski WSE quoted Financials 4 workers Sp. Z o. o. 94,40% 50,90% Capex Cognor Holding SK Cognor S. A. – main operation

  14. Slide 14: Segments Performance

    Segments Performance Introduction quantities per business segments Group Overview Scrap metal (thousand tonnes) Billets (thousand tonnes) 227 182 152 161 Market 126138 128129 138 122 115 123 108 102 86 94 93 75 78 74 60 43 34 24 26 19 23 26 24 28 Financials Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q3

  15. Slide 15: Q3 2024 Circular Economy

    Q3 2024 Circular Economy Introduction sustainable steelmaking Group Overview 151 955 137 988 123 319 92 629 tonnes of scrap tonnes of scrap metal tonnes of semi- tonnes of billets Market metal sourced used internally finished products processed internally (billets) production Financials SCRAP BILLET

  16. Slide 16: EU Market Protection Tools

    EU Market Protection Tools Introduction Group Anti Dumping Carbon Tax Overview Since 2016 the EU has been determined on market protection. Aimed at preventing carbon leakage. It started in 01.10.2023 and The anti dumping measures are numerous and financially will be fully effective from 01.01.2026.

  17. Slide 17: Technology - EAF vs BOF

    Technology - EAF vs BOF Introduction Electric Arc Furnace (EAF) Basic Oxygen Furnace (BOF) Group Overview Feedstock 24,9% Iron ore (1,600 kg) applied to Market Scrap metal (1,150 kg) 8,7% produce 100,0% Coking coal (600 kg) 1000 kg of 66,4% crude steel Scrap metal (210 kg) Financials • Approximately

  18. Slide 18: BOF / EAF Feedstock Cost (USD / tonne)

    BOF / EAF Feedstock Cost (USD / tonne) Introduction 500 Group 400 Overview 300 Difference 200 BOF Market 100 EAF 13 23 0 0 -9 Financials -50 -100 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Capex Raw material costs (USD / tonne) Feedstock Cost Model BOF EAF 500 (tonne / tonne of crude steel) 400 Outlook

  19. Slide 19: World and Poland

    World and Poland Introduction steel output (million tonnes) steel output (milion tonnes) 600,0 2,50 Group Overview 500,0 2,00 1,82 1,82 Market 1,79 400,0 1,60 1,52 1,50 Financials 300,0 1,00 Capex 200,0 0,50 Outlook 100,0 0,0 0,00 Annexes Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 20

  20. Slide 20: Billets and Finished Products

    Billets and Finished Products Introduction Cognor’s share and position in 2023 Group Overview Producer market share Revenue split by business segments Agriculture Defence (thousand tonnes) 4% 4% Railway Market 5% Other Construction 5% 30% 305 Iron and steel Financials 7% Mining 8% Machine 14% Capex

  21. Slide 21: Prices and Conversion Spreads (PLN / tonne)

    Prices and Conversion Spreads (PLN / tonne) Introduction Group Ferrostal HSJ Overview 6 000 6 000 5 000 5 000 Market 4 000 4 000 Financials 3 000 3 000 Capex 2 000 2 000 1 000 1 000 Outlook 0 0 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q3 2024 Q2 2024 Q1 2024 Q4 2023 Q3 2023 Annexes scrap metal billet

  22. Slide 22: EBIT Generation Breakdown (PLN thousand)

    EBIT Generation Breakdown (PLN thousand) Introduction Group Overview Market Financials 41 474 Capex Outlook Annexes 22

  23. Slide 23: Q3 2024 P&L Waterfall (PLN thousand)

    Q3 2024 P&L Waterfall (PLN thousand) Introduction Group Overview Market Financials Capex Outlook Revenue Cost of Other Distribution Administrative Other Other Financial Financial Net financing Share of profits Profit Income sales income expenses expenses gains net expenses income expenses costs of a

  24. Slide 24: Gross Profit Bridge (PLN thousand)

    Gross Profit Bridge (PLN thousand) Introduction Group Overview Market Financials Capex Outlook Annexes 24

  25. Slide 25: EBIT Bridge (PLN thousand)

    EBIT Bridge (PLN thousand) Introduction Group Overview Market Financials Capex Outlook Annexes 25

  26. Slide 26: Net Profit Bridge (PLN thousand)

    Net Profit Bridge (PLN thousand) Introduction Group Overview Market Financials Capex Outlook Annexes 26

  27. Slide 27: Balance Sheet (PLN million)

    Balance Sheet (PLN million) Introduction Group Overview 3 000 2 500 151,0 483,4 329,2 Cash 168,2 144,3 589,1 365,6 2 000 359,4 Receivables Market 414,2 507 517,5 504,1 Inventories Assets 1 500 524,7 523,9 556,3 1 000 Financials 1 239,2 1 331,4 1 430,5 500 949,3 1 116,6 Property, plant and equipment

  28. Slide 28: Balance Sheet (PLN thousand)

    Balance Sheet (PLN thousand) Introduction Working Capital Group Overview 668 514 477 Market 242 305 Financials 556 507 524 414 525 589 504 359 517 366 -395 -461 -600 -622 -578 Capex Outlook Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Annexes inventories receivables trade liabilities working capital 28

  29. Slide 29: Cash Flows (PLN thousand)

    Cash Flows (PLN thousand) Introduction Operational CAPEX Financial Cash balance Increase Decrease Group Overview Market Financials Capex Outlook Annexes Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 29

  30. Slide 30: Net Debt (PLN thousand) & Leverage Metric

    Net Debt (PLN thousand) & Leverage Metric Introduction 600 000 8,0 Group 7,0 Overview 500 000 6,0 400 000 Market 5,0 300 000 4,0 562 605 Financials 545 106 3,0 200 000 406 750 398 371 350 021 Capex 2,0 100 000 1,0 Outlook 0 0,0 Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 net debt net debt / LTM EBITDA A

  31. Slide 31: Cognor in new scale (thousand tonnes)

    Cognor in new scale (thousand tonnes) Introduction Production of billets Production of bars Group semi-finished products finished products Overview Market +252 ZAWIERCIE Q4 2024 / SIEMIANOWICE ŚL. merchant bars 198 68 New capacities Financials +155 +160 Q4 2023 Cracow Existing Capacities 304 375 240

  32. Slide 32: Capex- Costs, Financing and Effects

    Capex- Costs, Financing and Effects Introduction Group Gliwice Cracow Siemianowice Śląskie Overview replacement of EAF and ancillary items entire mill modernisation plus spooling most modern LSM mill in Europe (Completed) line (Q1 2024; Q2 2025 for spooling line) (Q2 2025) Market Cost – approximatel

  33. Slide 33: Outlook – Q4 2024

    Outlook – Q4 2024 Introduction Group Overview Macro trends Prices of Spreads (slide 3) unchanged scrap, billets and finished stable QoQ Market products expected to stabilize QoQ Financials Capex Rebar Rising capacity EBITDA market in crisis but further utilisation improved as compared to Q3 demand i

  34. Slide 34: Dividends, Ratios and Share Quoting

    34 Group Capex Market Outlook Overview Annexes Financials Introduction 0 0,5 1 1,5 2 2020 2021 P/E P / BV Share price (PLN) Number of shares Equity (000 PLN) LTM Net profit (000 PLN) Dividend policy 0,28 0,15 0,15 1,22 Q3 2024 Dividends 2022 as of 30.06.2024 n/a 5.37 0.81 2023 25% of consolidated ne

  35. Slide 35: P&L (PLN thousand)

    P&L (PLN thousand) Introduction STATEMENT OF PROFIT OR LOSS Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Revenues down by 1m & 0% '000 PLN - decrease of prices for: scrap metal, billets and finished products Sales revenue 499 497 569 979 686 280 550 864 498 359 - energy sales lower by 30m Group - shipmen

  36. Slide 36: Assets (PLN thousand)

    Assets (PLN thousand) Introduction ASSETS Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 '000 PLN A. TOTAL NON-CURRENT ASSETS 1 020 901 1 181 785 1 318 025 1 383 322 1 477 744 Fixed assets up by 457m & 45% Group I. Intangible assets 19 094 18 196 17 532 17 194 16 653 - CAPEX: 538m Overview - D&A: 40m II. P

  37. Slide 37: Equity and Liabilites (PLN thousand)

    Equity and Liabilites (PLN thousand) Introduction EQUITY AND LIABILITIES Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 '000 PLN A. EQUITY 1 243 398 1 241 210 1 242 996 1 247 170 1 215 031 Equity down by PLN 28m & 2% Group I. Issued share capital 257 131 257 131 257 131 257 131 257 131 - LTM net result: 14

  38. Slide 38: Cash Flows (PLN thousand) & Metrics

    Cash Flows (PLN thousand) & Metrics Introduction CASH FLOW Q3 2023 Q4 2023 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 '000 PLN A A. OPERATING ACTIVITIES 31 692 172 483 3 699 310 940 -71 154 - working capital outflow: 64m Group B. INVESTING ACTIVITIES -78 204 -163 011 -137 367 -94 071 -80 360 B Overview C. FINANCING AC

  39. Slide 39: Cognor Holding S.A.

    Introduction Group Overview Market Financials Cognor Holding S.A. ul. Zielona 26 Capex 42 - 360 Poraj Outlook tel. +48 34 316 01 10 fax +48 34 316 01 12 Annexes www.cognor.eu 39

Cognor Holding — Q3 2024 Earnings Presentation on 6ix