Orsted · OMXCOP:ORSTED

Orsted — Q1 2024 Earnings Presentation

41 slides from Orsted's earnings presentation, May 2, 2024

  1. Slide 1: Investor presentation Q1 2024

    Investor presentation Q1 2024 2 May 2024

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer

    DISCLAIMER This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements which include projections of our short- and long-term financial performance and targets as well as our financial policies. Statements herein, other than statements of historical fact, regarding our future results of operations,

  3. Slide 3: Q1 2024 highlights

    Q1 2024 highlights Strong business developments through award, project bids, and strategic portfolio decisions • Sunrise Wind offshore wind farm selected for award in New York Round 4 • Bid submitted in the Taiwanese Round 3.2 auction for an award of Greater Changhua 3 offshore wind farm • Participa

  4. Slide 4: Successful rebid of our 924 MW Sunrise Wind project

    Successful rebid of our 924 MW Sunrise Wind project Sunrise Wind project significantly de-risked • Submission of bid into New York’s fourth offshore wind auction to secure higher offshore renewable energy certificate (OREC) • Sunrise Wind selected for OREC award • Negotiation of 25-years OREC agreem

  5. Slide 5: Executing on our projects under construction

    Executing on our projects under construction Offshore (7.6 GW) Onshore (1.6 GW) Changhua South German Changhua Revolution Sunrise Hornsea 3 Europe US 1 and 2a Fork programme 2b and 4 Wind Wind Capacity1 900 MW 130 MW 1,166 MW2 920 MW 704 MW 924 MW 2,852 MW 215 MW5 1,394 MW6 COD Q2 2024 Q2 2024 2024/

  6. Slide 6: Offshore sites as key driver for increased earnings

    Offshore sites as key driver for increased earnings EBITDA1 of DKK 7.5 billion in Q1 2024, up 8 % vs. last year EBITDA excluding new partnerships and cancellation fees • Offshore sites earnings increased 18 % driven by: Q1 2023 6,910 - Ramp-up generation at Greater Changhua 1 & 2a and South Fork - H

  7. Slide 7: Net profit, ROCE, and Equity

    Net profit, ROCE, and Equity Net profit Adjusted ROCE1 Equity Equity excl. hedging reserves DKKbn %, last 12 months DKKbn Hedging reserves 3.2 13.8 83.3 77.8 12.5 2.6 88.0 94.0 -10.3 -10.7 Q1 2023 Q1 2024 31 Mar 2023 31 Mar 2024 31 Dec 2023 31 Mar 2024 1 Net profit of DKK 2.6 bn Adjusted ROCE of 12.

  8. Slide 8: Net interest-bearing debt and credit metric

    Net interest-bearing debt and credit metric Net interest-bearing debt FFO / Adj. net debt DKKbn % 7.6 0.7 37 1.4 49.9 47.4 -3.7 -3.6 19 31 Dec 2023 CFO Gross Divestments Issuance of Other 31 Mar 2024 31 Mar 2023 31 Mar 2024 investments hybrid capital Net interest-bearing debt of DKK 49.9 bn, up DKK

  9. Slide 9: Non-financial ratios

    Non-financial ratios Taxonomy-aligned KPIs Renewable share of energy generation Safety %, YTD %, YTD Total recordable injury rate, YTD 97 2.9 89 2.7 Revenue 91 31 Mar 2023 31 Mar 2024 31 Mar 2023 31 Mar 2024 CAPEX 99 Renewable share of energy at 97 % TRIR of 2.9 • Higher generation from ramp-up gene

  10. Slide 10: 2024 guidance re-iterated

    2024 guidance re-iterated EBITDA EBITDA in 2024 excluding new partnership agreements and impact from potential cancellation fees relating to ceasing the development of Ocean Wind 1, is unchanged and expected to amount to DKK 23-26 billion Gross investments Gross investments in 2024 are expected to a

  11. Slide 11: Q&A

    Q&A

  12. Slide 12: Appendix

    Appendix Orsted

  13. Slide 13: Disclosure summary

    Disclosure summary Strategic ambition and financial targets Year Financial policies Ambition for installed renewable capacity ~35-38 GW Target a solid investment grade rating with Moody’s/S&P/Fitch - Offshore ~20-22 GW - Onshore ~11-13 GW By 2030 FFO to adjusted net debt above 30 % - P2X ~1 GW - Bio

  14. Slide 14: Group – Financial highlights

    Financials Group – Financial highlights Financial highlights Q1 2024 Q1 2023 D FY 2023 FY 2022 D EBITDA DKKm 7,488 6,910 8% 18,717 32,057 (42 %) - New partnerships - - n. a. 4,324 10,993 (61 %) - Cancellation fees - - n.a. (9,621) - n.a. EBITDA excl. new partnerships and 7,488 6,910 8% 24,014 21,064

  15. Slide 15: Offshore – Financial highlights

    Financials Offshore – Financial highlights Financial highlights Q1 2024 Q1 2023 D FY 2023 FY 2022 D EBITDA DKKm 6,083 5,412 12 % 13,817 19,569 (29 %) • Sites, O&Ms and PPAs 6,928 5,859 18 % 20,207 9,940 103 % • Construction agreements and divestment gains (283) (42) 574 % 5,218 12,277 (57 %) Wind sp

  16. Slide 16: Onshore – Financial highlights

    Financials Onshore – Financial highlights Financial highlights Q1 2024 Q1 2023 D FY 2023 FY 2022 D EBITDA DKKm 816 834 (2 %) 2,970 3,644 (18 %) • Sites 303 324 (6 %) 1,256 2,097 (40 %) • Production tax credits and tax attributes 743 759 (2 %) 2,567 2,556 0% Wind speeds, m/s • Other, incl. project de

  17. Slide 17: Bioenergy & Other – Financial highlights

    Financials Bioenergy & Other – Financial highlights Financial highlights Q1 2024 Q1 2023 D FY 2023 FY 2022 D EBITDA DKKm 434 517 (16 %) 1,523 8,619 (82 %) • CHP plants 587 845 (31 %) 1,218 5,851 (79 %) • Gas Markets & Infrastructure (79) (237) (67 %) 558 3,117 (82 %) • Other, incl. project developme

  18. Slide 18: Capital employed

    Financials Capital employed Capital employed, DKKm Q1 2024 Q1 2023 Capital employed by segment %, Q1 2024 Intangible assets, and property and equipment 191,318 186,799 Offshore Onshore Assets classified as held for sale, net - - Bioenergy & Other Equity investments and non-current receivables 1,031

  19. Slide 19: FFO/Adjusted net debt calculation

    Financials FFO/Adjusted net debt calculation Funds from operations (FFO) LTM, DKKm 31 Mar 2024 31 Dec 2023 31 Mar 2023 EBITDA 19,295 18,717 29,538 Change in provisions and other adjustments 6,803 8,742 (1,538) Change in derivatives (122) 4,274 434 Variation margin (add back) (5,718) (7,086) 1,419 Re

  20. Slide 20: Taxonomy-aligned KPIs

    Financials Taxonomy-aligned KPIs Incl. voluntary disclosures Unit Q1 2024 Q1 2023 D 2023 Revenue (turnover) DKKm 19,168 25,719 (25 %) 79,255 Taxonomy-aligned revenue (turnover) % 91 84 7 %p 86 - Electricity generation from solar PV and storage of electricity % 1 0 1 %p 1 - Electricity generation fro

  21. Slide 21: Energy and currency exposure

    Financials Energy and currency exposure Merchant exposure Q2 2024 – Q4 2026 Currency exposure Q2 2024 – Q1 2029 DKKbn DKKbn Before hedging Before hedging After hedging via as-produced PPAs and traded markets After hedging 40.2 26.8 19.4 6.5 4.6 11.7 4.9 4.5 0.1 -3.6 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 Power Gas Oil Spre

  22. Slide 22: Key financial exposures from revenues in 2024-2030

    Financials Key financial exposures from revenues in 2024-2030 Inflation-indexed revenue Fixed nominal revenue Merchant revenue 20% 35% 45% • Prioritise inflation-indexed revenue • Debt used to de-risk fixed nominal • Corporate PPAs used to de-risk to protect against cost inflation and revenue from a

  23. Slide 23: Risk management of interest rate- and inflation risk

    Financials Risk management of interest rate- and inflation risk Fixed-rate debt and hedges used to protect fixed Net inflation-linked operational cash flows in the period nominal cash flows against interest rate increases 2024-2030 protects against cost inflation ~60% matched ~50% matched Present va

  24. Slide 24: Liquidity reserve remains significantly above target

    Financials Liquidity reserve remains significantly above target Collateral and margin postings Liquidity reserve DKKbn DKKbn 7.9 90.7 7.4 76.0 4.0 4.4 2.6 2.0 1.2 1.0 Dec 2023 Mar 2024 Dec 2023 Mar 2024 Initial margin Cash, available Variation margin Securities, available Credit support annex and ot

  25. Slide 25: Debt and hybrids overview

    Financials Debt and hybrids overview Total gross debt1 and hybrids Effective funding costs – Gross debt1 Maturity profile of notionals of gross debt1 31 March 2024, DKKbn 31 March 2024, DKKbn >90 % of gross debt1 (bond and bank debt) fixed interest 34.4 rate. Remainder floating or inflation-linked B

  26. Slide 26: Hybrid capital in short

    Financials Hybrid capital in short Hybrid capital can broadly be defined as funding Due to hybrid’s equity-like features, rating Accounting treatment instruments that combine features of debt and agencies assign equity content to the hybrids equity in a cost-efficient manner: when calculating centra

  27. Slide 27: Ørsted's outstanding senior bonds

    Financials Ørsted’s outstanding senior bonds Outstanding Fixed/Floating Green Allocated to green Avoided emissions (thousand Bond Type Issue date Maturity Face Value Coupon Coupon payments amount rate bond projects (DKKm) tons CO2/year) Senior Unsecured Nov. 2017 26 Nov. 2029 EUR 750m EUR 750m Fixed

  28. Slide 28: Renewable capacity as of 31 March 2024

    Build-out & market development Renewable capacity as of 31 March 2024 Indicator, MW, gross Q1 2024 Q1 2023 Δ 2023 Installed renewable capacity Installed renewable capacity The installed renewable capacity is calculated as 15,740 15,478 262 15,731 renewable gross capacity installed by Ørsted Offshore

  29. Slide 29: Promising renewable energy market outlook

    Build-out & market development Promising renewable energy market outlook Offshore wind Onshore renewables Power-to-X (P2X) Installed capacity (excl. China), GW Installed capacity (excl. China), GW Electrolyser capacity, GW2 ~133 ~3,840 ~260 28 APAC ~1,000 RoW1 15 Americas 130 RoW1, 3 x2.5 x6 ~800 AP

  30. Slide 30: Offshore wind build-out plan as per 31 March 2024

    Build-out & market development Offshore wind build-out plan as per 31 March 2024 Installed capacity MW 1,255 19,220 Under construction 1,498 924 16,467 Awarded 2,852 920 704 1,166 130 900 8,871 Installed Greater German South Fork Greater Revolution Hornsea 3 Sunrise Wind Decided Baltica 2 Baltica 33

  31. Slide 31: Onshore build-out plan as per 31 March 2024

    Build-out & market development Onshore build-out plan as per 31 March 2024 Installed capacity MW Under construction 471 67 24 124 6,403 600 73 4,794 250 Installed capacity Sparta1 Eleven Mile Old 3003 Mockingbird German French Irish Portfolio6 Decided (FID’ed) Q1 2024 portfolio4 portfolio5 and insta

  32. Slide 32: Offshore market development – Europe (1/2)

    Build-out & market development Offshore market development – Europe (1/2) • Commitment to decarbonise electricity system by 2035 and binding target to reach net-zero emissions across the whole economy by 2050 • The Administrative Strike Price for CfD Allocation Round 6 was set in late 2023 at £73 fo

  33. Slide 33: Offshore market development – Europe (2/2)

    Build-out & market development Offshore market development – Europe (2/2) • The government targets to deliver 21 GW by 2030 Netherlands • IJmuiden Ver (2 x 2 GW) tender closed 28 March 2024. Award decision due within 13 weeks. Government opted for a tender design that includes a capped payment and q

  34. Slide 34: Offshore market development – US

    Build-out & market development Offshore market development – US • Target of 9 GW offshore wind by 2035; approximately 5.7 GW awarded New York • State issued awards in NY 4 "rebid" RFP in Q1 2024, including for Sunrise Wind • Request for information (RFI) announced in planning of a fifth offshore win

  35. Slide 35: Offshore market development – APAC

    Build-out & market development Offshore market development – APAC • Taiwan has awarded 5.5 GW to be commissioned by 2025. Target of 20.6 GW offshore wind by 2035 Taiwan • Third round auction announced with 15 GW offshore wind target to be commissioned from 2026-2035 (1.5 GW per year) • Auction round

  36. Slide 36: Significant offshore wind capacity expected to be auctioned in 2024/2025

    Build-out & market development Significant offshore wind capacity expected to be auctioned in 2024/2025 Upcoming auctions and tenders Award expected Award expected Q3 2024 Q3 2024 2024 Q3-Q4 2024 Q3 2024 1 Q3 2024 1 (tentative RFP issue) New Jersey 4 CfD AR6 Seabed auctions Rhode Island Connecticut

  37. Slide 37: Renewable hydrogen & e-fuels

    Power-to-X Renewable hydrogen & e-fuels Signals for significant market growth Ørsted Power-to-X highlights during Q1 2024 Actioning critical regulatory files in the EU and the US Ørsted selected by US DOE for funding EU’s REDIII entered into force in November and is being Ørsted’s planned Project St

  38. Slide 38: ESG Performance

    ESG ESG Performance Total heat and power generation, Q1 2024 Greenhouse gas emissions intensity Gender balance Energy source, % CO2e/kWh %, women/men Scope 1-3 (excl. natural gas sales) Total workforce Scope 1-2 2030 40/60 Offshore wind 40 Science- based 2023 34/66 Onshore wind 23 targets2 2022 33/6

  39. Slide 39: Industry-leading sustainability initiatives and ESG rating performance

    ESG Ørsted has been named the world’s most sustainable energy developer in Corporate Knights’ 2024 Global 100 index Industry-leading sustainability initiatives ESG rating performance Science-aligned climate action We are the first energy company with a science-based net-zero target for the full valu

  40. Slide 40: Our publications

    ESG To prepare for the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD), we have conducted a E Science-aligned Green energy that S A green transformation G Governance that enables double materiality climate action revives nature that works for people the right decisions assessment (DMA) for the A

  41. Slide 41: Investor Relations contacts

    Rasmus Hærvig Henriette Stenderup Head of Investor Relations Investor Relations Coordinator rakol@orsted.com hnste@orsted.com Sabine Lohse Valdemar Høgh Andersen Lead Investor Relations Officer Senior Investor Relations Officer sablo@orsted.com vehan@orsted.com

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