Cascades Inc. · TSX:CAS

Cascades — Q2 2020 Earnings Presentation

33 slides from Cascades's earnings presentation, Aug 6, 2020

  1. Slide 1: Q2 2020 Financial Results

    Q2 2020 FINANCIAL RESULTS August 6, 2020

  2. Slide 2: Disclaimer

    DISCLAIMER FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENT Certain statements in this presentation, including statements regarding future results and performance, are forward-looking statements within the meaning of securities legislation based on current expectations. The accuracy of such statements is subject to a numb

  3. Slide 3: Summary of Quarterly Financial Results

    SUMMARY OF QUARTERLY FINANCIAL RESULTS2 186 43 39 54 58 156 161 152 161 31 26 28 29 22 82 108 90 94 (26) (1) 2 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 2 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 1 Operating Income (loss) Adjusted OIBD Net Earnings (loss) Adjusted Net Earnings 1 Figures above in millio

  4. Slide 4: Historical Segmented Quarterly Operating Income (Loss) & Adjusted OIBD

    HISTORICAL SEGMENTED QUARTERLY OPERATING INCOME (LOSS) & ADJUSTED OIBD1,2 Containerboard (millions of CAN$) Boxboard Europe2 (millions of CAN$) 113 118 106 43 99 94 30 30 30 84 91 25 24 19 14 20 69 74 54 (6) Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Operating In

  5. Slide 5: Historical Segmented Quarterly Shipments

    HISTORICAL SEGMENTED QUARTERLY SHIPMENTS Containerboard ('000 s.t. and % capacity utilization1) Boxboard Europe ('000 s.t. and % capacity utilization1) 351 377 374 363 365 360 331 101% 326 98% 321 94% 95% 94% 91% 92% 92% 93% 305 88% Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1

  6. Slide 6: Raw Material Costs - Index List Prices

    RAW MATERIAL COSTS - INDEX LIST PRICES ($ US/t.c.) Recycled Fibre Prices Current ($ US/t.m.) Virgin Pulp Prices Current (July-20) (Jun-20) 250 1,500 225 1,400 200 1,300 175 150 150 1,200 1,160 125 1,100 100 1,000 75 900 900 50 58 25 800 0 700 May 16 Aug 16 Nov 16 Feb 17 May 17 Aug 17 Nov 17 Feb 18 M

  7. Slide 7: Segmented Review

    SEGMENTED REVIEW = 9 O18Me- 8

  8. Slide 8: Packaging Products / Containerboard

    PACKAGING PRODUCTS / CONTAINERBOARD Results Change vs. Comments on sequential performance Q2 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2019 è Shipments decreased by 4% sequentially. This was driven by a 7% decrease in Shipments ('000 s.t.) manufacturing shipments that reflect lower demand and 16.5 days of planned maintenance

  9. Slide 9: Tissue Papers

    TISSUE PAPERS Results Change vs. Comments on sequential performance Q2 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2019 è The 8% sequential decrease in shipments was driven in large part by the 11% decrease Shipments ('000 s.t.) in shipments of converted products. This was primarily a reflection of the Covid-19 related 167 (8)

  10. Slide 10: Packaging Products / Boxboard Europe

    PACKAGING PRODUCTS / BOXBOARD EUROPE Results Change vs. Comments on sequential performance Q2 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2019 Shipments ('000 s.t.) è Shipments of virgin boxboard decreased by 2,000 s.t., or 3%, in the second quarter of 2020 compared to the prior quarter, while shipments of recycled boxboard de

  11. Slide 11: Packaging Products / Specialty Products

    PACKAGING PRODUCTS / SPECIALTY PRODUCTS Results Change vs. Comments on sequential performance Q2 2020 Q1 2020 Q2 2019 è The sequential sales increase reflects increases in most business sub-segments. This was Sales (M$) most notable in food packaging, where volumes increased 20% sequentially. Conver

  12. Slide 12: Financial Review

    FINANCIAL REVIEW eo ke SE fe te Oe 7 ba

  13. Slide 13: Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

    KEY PERFORMANCE INDICATORS (KPIs) Total Shipments1 ('000 s.t.) Capacity Utilization Rate1-2 (manufacturing only) 906 97% 859 93% 93% 849 853 92% 837 90% Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 LTM Return on Assets LTM Working Capital (% of LTM Sales) 12.7% 10.

  14. Slide 14: Year Over Year Sales Reconciliation

    YEAR OVER YEAR SALES RECONCILIATION (M CAN$) +1% 1,400 1,350 28 35 (10) 1,300 1,285 (21) 1,275 (22) 1,250 Business Sales Other closure and Sales (M CAN$) Q2-2019 Volume F/X CAN$ variances Price & Mix disposal Q2-2020 Containerboard 462 (3) 9 — (14) — 454 Boxboard Europe 270 (3) 4 — (6) — 265 Special

  15. Slide 15: Sequential Sales Reconciliation

    SEQUENTIAL SALES RECONCILIATION (M CAN$) -2% 1,400 17 30 1,350 1,313 (4) 1,300 1,285 1,250 (71) 1,200 1,150 1,100 Sales Sales (M CAN$) Q1-2020 F/X CAN$ Price & Mix Other variances Volume Q2-2020 Containerboard 458 7 5 — (16) 454 Boxboard Europe 272 8 3 — (18) 265 Specialty Products 113 3 3 — 1 120 T

  16. Slide 16: Year-Over-Year Operating Income Reconciliation

    YEAR-OVER-YEAR OPERATING INCOME RECONCILIATION + Lower production, logistics and SG&A costs + Lower production, logistics and SG&A + Higher profitability from recovery + Higher volumes and recycling activities - Lower average selling price + Contribution from Orchids business acquisition - Higher co

  17. Slide 17: Sequential Operating Income Reconciliation

    SEQUENTIAL OPERATING INCOME RECONCILIATION + Lower energy costs and energy credits + Lower production and SG&A costs + Higher received profitability from recovery and recycling activities - Lower volumes + Lower production and SG&A costs - Lower average selling prices - Higher brown recycled fibres

  18. Slide 18: Q2-20 Adjusted OIBD to Operating Income Reconciliation

    Q2-20 ADJUSTED OIBD TO OPERATING INCOME RECONCILIATION (M CAN$) 200 186 150 111 94 100 (75) (1) (13) 50 (2) (1) 0 Adjusted Depr. & Adjusted Loss on acq. Impairment Restructuring Unrealized loss Operating 1 OIBD Amort. Operating and others charges costs on financial Income Income 1 instruments Contai

  19. Slide 19: Net Earnings - IFRS vs Adjusted

    NET EARNINGS - IFRS VS ADJUSTED NET EARNINGS NET EARNINGS (LOSS) PER SHARE1 (in millions of Canadian dollars, except amount per share) Q2-2020 Q2-2020 As per IFRS 54 $ 0.57 Specific items: Loss on acquisitions, disposals and others 1 $ — Impairment charges 13 $ 0.10 Restructuring costs 2 $ 0.02 Unre

  20. Slide 20: Quarterly Year-Over-Year Adjusted EPS Variance

    QUARTERLY YEAR-OVER-YEAR ADJUSTED EPS VARIANCE1,2 0.80 0.01 0.61 0.10 0.02 0.60 0.57 0.24 (0.03) (0.04) (0.03) $ cents 0.40 0.33 0.28 (0.05) 0.20 0.00 EPS reported Specific Adjusted EPS OIBD Depreciation Financing Share of Non- Income Adjusted EPS Specific EPS reported Q2-2019 items Q2-2019 2 & expe

  21. Slide 21: Quarterly Sequential Adjusted EPS Variance

    QUARTERLY SEQUENTIAL ADJUSTED EPS VARIANCE1,2 0.80 0.19 0.04 0.61 0.60 — 0.57 (0.03) (0.01) (0.04) 0.18 0.42 $ cents 0.40 0.24 0.20 0.00 EPS reported Specific Adjusted EPS OIBD Depreciation Financing Non- Income Adjusted EPS Specific EPS reported Q1-2020 items Q1-2020 2 & expense & controlling tax Q

  22. Slide 22: Cash Flow Overview

    CASH FLOW OVERVIEW 153 153 162 162 97 52 38 59 124 125 16 104 108 107 91 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020 CF from oper. Adj. CF from oper. 3 Adjusted Free Cash Flow 3 Figures above in millions of CAN$ Figures above in millions of CAN$ 2018 2019 2020 (In

  23. Slide 23: Net Debt Reconciliation - Q2 2020

    NET DEBT1 RECONCILIATION - Q2 2020 (M CAN$) 2,250 2,212 2,200 2,150 2,100 38 2,077 2,050 34 (162) 4 10 2,000 — (59) 1,950 1,900 Net debt as at Cash flow F/X CAN$ Investments Right-of-use assets Dividends paid & Changes in Payments for Net debt as at March 31, 2020 from oper. and others and included

  24. Slide 24: Consolidated Financial Ratios & Debt Maturities

    CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL RATIOS & DEBT MATURITIES Net Debt / LTM Adjusted OIBD1,3 Interest Coverage Ratio2,3 5.0x 6.5x 4.6x 4.7x 6.0x 5.8x 4.0x 3.8x 3.6x 4.7x 4.6x 3.5x 4.3x 3.25x 3.1x 3.4x 3.4x 3.0x 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019Q2 2020 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Q2 2020 Net Deb

  25. Slide 25: Capital Investments

    CAPITAL INVESTMENTS (in millions of Canadian dollars, including capitalization of IT projects, excluding value of leases) Excludes potential Bear 360 Island investments 40 81 274 2020 CAPEX: 47 ± $175-$200 M1 218 20 46 35 104 30 61 18 80 22 184 27 39 20 66 25 62 30 2017 2018 2019 2020 Containerboard

  26. Slide 26: Concluding Remarks

    CONCLUDING REMARKS 26

  27. Slide 27: Near Term Factors

    NEAR TERM FACTORS • Containerboard: expect slight volume increase, • Containerboard: expect lower average selling price lower sequential raw material costs to negatively impact results YoY • Boxboard Europe: sequential gradual benefit from à • previously announced price increase Raw material: lower

  28. Slide 28: Appendix

    APPENDIX —s Ne | a

  29. Slide 29: Segmented YoY Operating Income Waterfalls

    SEGMENTED YoY OPERATING INCOME WATERFALLS Containerboard (millions of CAN$) Boxboard Europe (millions of CAN$) 160 60 3 13 3 7 30 113 43 (12) 120 9 84 94 (29) 40 (14) 11 30 (6) 30 80 (1) (21) 54 19 (1) 20 40 (11) 0 0 Q2 2019 Depr. & Q2 2019 Other prod. Other Price Raw Q2 2020 Depr. & Q2 2020 Q2 2019

  30. Slide 30: Segmented Sequential Operating Income Waterfalls

    SEGMENTED SEQUENTIAL OPERATING INCOME (LOSS) WATERFALLS Containerboard (millions of CAN$) Boxboard Europe (millions of CAN$) 8 160 50 11 43 (12) 19 40 (1) 120 28 99 11 30 (5) 30 94 (29) 74 30 20 (1) (5) (8) 80 54 20 (3) (25) (1) 40 (11) 10 0 0 Q1 2020 Depr. & Q1 2020 Energy Other Other Volume Q2 202

  31. Slide 31: Selected Reference Prices

    SELECTED REFERENCE PRICES Current (US$/s.t.) Containerboard - Selected Products Current (Euro€/s.t.) Boxboard Europe - Selected Products (Jun-20) 800 (Jun-20) 1,200 1,100 1,096 700 715 1,000 615 900 600 800 500 700 661 600 400 500 May 17 Aug 17 Nov 17 Feb 18 May 18 Aug 18 Nov 18 Feb 19 May 19 Aug-19

  32. Slide 32: Selected Reference Prices and Fibre Costs

    SELECTED REFERENCE PRICES AND FIBRE COSTS Q2 2020 vs Q2 2020 vs 2018 2019 2020 Q2 2019 Q1 2020 These indexes should only be used as an indicator of trends and they may be different than our actual selling prices or purchasing costs. Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Year Q1 Q2 (units) (%) (units) (%) Sel

  33. Slide 33: For More Information

    For more information: www.cascades.com/investors Jennifer Aitken, MBA Director, Investor Relations 514-282-2697 / investor@cascades.com 33

Cascades — Q2 2020 Earnings Presentation on 6ix