Dow Inc. · NYSE:DOW

Dow — Q3 2022 Earnings Presentation

26 slides from Dow's earnings presentation, Oct 20, 2022

  1. Slide 1: 3Q 2022 Results

    3Q 2022 RESULTS October 20, 2022

  2. Slide 2: Agenda

    AGENDA • Quarterly Results 3Q 2022 • Operating Segment Performance R E S U LT S • Outlook • Strategic Priorities for Long-Term Value Creation 2

  3. Slide 3: 3Q 2022 Performance Overview

    3Q 2022 PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW  Net sales were $14.1B  Market conditions in EMEAI led sales and volume declines YoY and QoQ $14.1B  Strength in higher-margin functional polymers and performance silicones NET SALES  Local price increased 3% YoY and declined 6% QoQ  U.S. dollar strength impacted sa

  4. Slide 4: 3Q 2022 Operating Segment Performance

    3Q 2022 OPERATING SEGMENT PERFORMANCE REVENUE ($MM) Sales ↓ 5%; Volume flat; Price ↓ 2% Op. EBIT ($MM) & Op. EBIT Margin % Op. EBIT ↓ 60%; Margins ↓ 1460 bps Specialty Plastics Y-o-Y Y-o-Y 9,0 00 Price gains in functional polymers more 1,954 Results due to lower polyethylene prices Packaging & 200 0

  5. Slide 5: Proactively Navigating Evolving Market Dynamics

    PROACTIVELY NAVIGATING EVOLVING MARKET DYNAMICS BUSINESS & OPERATIONAL ACTIONS Current snapshot of end-market demand by region  Maintain 15% reduction in capacity across polyethylene assets; APAC prioritizing higher-margin functional polymers NAA LAA EMEAI China (excl. China)  Capture fixed cost a

  6. Slide 6: 4Q22 Modeling Guidance

    4Q22 MODELING GUIDANCE Maintaining Operational Discipline in Dynamic Macroeconomic Environment Net Sales ~$11.5 – $12.0B Depreciation & Amortization ~$675MM Quarterly Operational Tax Rate ~29 – 33% Net Interest Expense (Net of Int. Income) ~$125MM Net Income Attrib. to Non-Controlling Int. ~$25MM Av

  7. Slide 7: Well-Positioned in a Dynamic Macro Environment

    WELL-POSITIONED IN A DYNAMIC MACRO ENVIRONMENT Distinct Competitive Advantages Solid Financial Position Cash & Cash Revolver Equivalents Diverse End-Market Participation Committed Healthy Debt and Credit Profile Global Scale and Leading Positions A/R ~$12B  No substantive debt maturities due  Dive

  8. Slide 8: Advancing Our Decarbonize & Grow Strategy

    ADVANCING OUR “DECARBONIZE & GROW” STRATEGY Improving Underlying Earnings Growing Annual Underlying Earnings by >$3B by 2030, by ~$300-400MM1 in 2022 while Reducing CO2 Emissions by ~30%2 Near-Term Growth Levers Efficiency Levers Efficiency Levers Near-Term Growth Alberta Project EBITDA  P&SP: 4Q22

  9. Slide 9: Raising the Bar to Commercialize 3MM MTA of Circular & Renewable Solutions by 2030

    RAISING THE BAR TO COMMERCIALIZE 3MM MTA OF CIRCULAR & RENEWABLE SOLUTIONS BY 2030 Building an Delivering Meeting Increasing Industrial Ecosystem Innovative Solutions Brand-Owner Demand  Founding member of the  REVOLOOP™ Post-Consumer Recycled Resins for Dow technology to support Crocs Alliance to

  10. Slide 10: Consistent Strategic Priorities for Long-Term Value Creation

    CONSISTENT STRATEGIC PRIORITIES FOR LONG-TERM VALUE CREATION DISCIPLINED CAPITAL PROFITABLE LOW-COST BEST-OWNER ESG LEADERSHIP ALLOCATION GROWTH OPERATING MODEL MINDSET Execute lower-risk, faster- Maintain and grow Decarbonize assets to Maintain top-quartile Maintain culture of payback projects, lea

  11. Slide 11: Appendix

    APPENDIX

  12. Slide 12: FY 2022 Modeling Considerations & Latest Updates

    FY 2022 MODELING CONSIDERATIONS & LATEST UPDATES [POSITIVE / NEGATIVE] Cash Flow Considerations in 2022 Dividends from Operating EBIT Drivers vs. FY21 ~$900MM (up ~$600MM YoY) Equity Companies Equity Earnings Down ~$600-700MM YoY (net of T/As) Pension ~$250MM (~$1B lower YoY) Pension Expense ~$FLAT

  13. Slide 13: 3Q 2022 Financial Highlights

    3Q 2022 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS YoY Operating EPS Reconciliation Key Drivers in the Quarter YoY • Growth and efficiency levers improving $2.75 underlying earnings $1.11 • Lower SARD cost due to continued focus on cost efficiency 3Q21 SARD Growth Equity Turnarounds Raw Below the 3Q22 /Efficiency Earning

  14. Slide 14: Principal Joint Venture Detail

    PRINCIPAL JOINT VENTURE DETAIL Dow’s Proportional Share of Principal JV Financial Results Drivers of 3Q 2022 3Q 2021 2Q 2022 JV Performance Kuwait Thai Kuwait Thai Kuwait Thai $ millions (unaudited) Sadara JVs JVs Sadara JVs JVs Sadara JVs JVs  Sadara: Driven by margin compression in polyurethanes

  15. Slide 15: Operating Earnings Per Share (EPS) Reconciliation

    OPERATING EARNINGS PER SHARE (EPS) RECONCILIATION Significant Items Impacting Results for the Three Months Ended Sep 30, 2022 1 2 3 In millions, except per share amounts (Unaudited) Pretax Net Income EPS Reported results $ 1,001 $ 739 $ 1.02 Less: Significant items Digitalization program costs (62)

  16. Slide 16: Operating (EPS) Reconciliation (Continued)

    OPERATING (EPS) RECONCILIATION (CONTINUED) Significant Items Impacting Results for the Nine Months Ended Sep 30, 2022 1 In millions, except per share amounts (Unaudited) Pretax Net Income 2 EPS 3 Reported results $ 5,225 $ 3,969 $ 5.41 Less: Significant items Digitalization program costs (154) (119)

  17. Slide 17: Operating (EPS) Reconciliation (Continued)

    OPERATING (EPS) RECONCILIATION (CONTINUED) Significant Items Impacting Results for the Three Months Ended Jun 30, 2022 1 In millions, except per share amounts (Unaudited) Pretax Net Income 2 EPS 3 Reported results $ 2,169 $ 1,661 $ 2.26 Less: Significant items Digitalization program costs (51) (40)

  18. Slide 18: Reconciliation of Net Income to Operating EBIT & Operating EBITDA

    RECONCILIATION OF NET INCOME TO OPERATING EBIT & OPERATING EBITDA Reconciliation of "Net income" to "Operating EBIT" and Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended "Operating EBITDA" In millions (Unaudited) Dec 31, 2020 Sep 30, 2021 Dec 31, 2021 Mar 31, 2022 Jun 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2022 Sep 30,

  19. Slide 19: Segment Information

    SEGMENT INFORMATION Net Sales by Segment Three Months Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended Ended In millions (Unaudited) Jun 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2021 Sep 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2021 Packaging & Specialty Plastics $ 8,233 $ 7,327 $ 7,736 $ 23,187 $ 20,939 Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure

  20. Slide 20: Segment Information (Continued)

    SEGMENT INFORMATION (CONTINUED) Adjusted Operating EBIT by Segment Three Months Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended Ended In millions (Unaudited) Jun 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2021 Sep 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2021 Packaging & Specialty Plastics $ 1,298 $ 730 $ 1,830 $ 3,152 $ 4,836 Industrial Intermed

  21. Slide 21: Cash Conversion and Free Cash Flow Reconciliation

    CASH CONVERSION AND FREE CASH FLOW RECONCILIATION Reconciliation of Cash Flow Conversion Three Months Ended In millions (Unaudited) Sep 30, 2021 Dec 31, 2021 Mar 31, 2022 Jun 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2022 Cash provided by operating activities - continuing operations (GAAP) $ 2,719 $ 2,557 $ 1,612 $ 1,856 $

  22. Slide 22: Reconciliation of Operating Return on Capital (ROC)

    RECONCILIATION OF OPERATING RETURN ON CAPITAL (ROC) Reconciliation of Operating Return on Capital (ROC) Three Months Ended In millions (Unaudited) Sep 30, 2022 Sep 30, 2021 Net income $ 739 $ 1,683 - Significant items, after tax (63) (390) Operating Net Income (non-GAAP) $ 802 $ 2,073 Net income att

  23. Slide 23: Reconciliation of Net Debt

    RECONCILIATION OF NET DEBT Reconciliation of Net Debt In millions (Unaudited) Sep 30, 2022 Dec 31, 2021 Notes payable $ 185 $ 161 Long-term debt due within one year 364 231 Long-term debt 12,921 14,280 Gross debt (GAAP) $ 13,470 $ 14,672 - Cash and cash equivalents 2,216 2,988 - Marketable securitie

  24. Slide 24: General Comments

    GENERAL COMMENTS Background On April 1, 2019, DowDuPont completed the separation of its materials science business and Dow Inc. became the direct parent company of TDCC, owning all of the outstanding common shares of TDCC. For filings related to the period commencing April 1, 2019 and thereafter, TD

  25. Slide 25: Safe Harbor

    SAFE HARBOR Cautionary Statement about Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements in this report are “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the federal securities laws, including Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1

  26. Slide 26: Non-GAAP & Definitions

    NON-GAAP & DEFINITIONS Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation includes information that does not conform to U.S. GAAP and are considered non-GAAP measures. Management uses these measures internally for planning, forecasting and evaluating the performance of the Company's segments, including a

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