Singapore Airlines Ltd. · SGX:C6L
Singapore Airlines — FY2010/11 Earnings Presentation
23 slides from Singapore Airlines's earnings presentation, May 13, 2011
Slide 1: Analyst / Media Briefing FY2010-11 Results
SINGAPORE AIRLINES GROUP ANALYST / MEDIA BRIEFING FY2010-11 RESULTS 13 MAY 2011 THE PARENT AIRLINE FY2010/11 RESULTS
Slide 2: The Parent Airline Company Results – FY2010/11
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY RESULTS – FY2010/11 Better/ Better/ 4Q/10 (Worse) 2010/11 (Worse) $million $million $million $million Total Revenue 2,926 242 11,739 1,594 Total Expenditure 2,832 (307) 10,888 (704) - Fuel Cost 1,076 (242) 3,755 (678) - Fuel Hedging (Gain)/Loss (33) 49 50 410 - Ex-fuel Cos
Slide 3: Operating Performance – FY2010/11
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY OPERATING PERFORMANCE – FY2010/11 4Q/10 % Change 2010/11 % Change Passenger Yield 12.1 + 9.0 11.9 + 14.4 (¢/pkm) Passenger Unit Cost 9.1 + 5.8 8.9 + 3.5 (¢/ask) Passenger Breakeven 75.2 - 2.3 pts 74.8 - 7.9 pts Load Factor (%) Slide 5 THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY OPERATING P
Slide 4: Operating Performance – Passenger Load Factor
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY OPERATING PERFORMANCE Passenger Load Factor (%) 84 80.3 80 79.2 78.4 78.5 76.5 76 72 68 64 0 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 Slide 7 THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY OPERATING PERFORMANCE Passenger Load Factor Breakeven Load Factor (%) 84 82.7 80.3 80 79.2 78.4 78.5 76.5 76 74.8 7
Slide 5: Operating Performance – Load Factor and Passenger Yield
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY OPERATING PERFORMANCE Passenger Load Factor Breakeven Load Factor (%) 84 82.7 80.3 -4.3 80 79.2 78.4 78.5 76.5 3.7 76 6.7 10.9 2.9 74.8 72 73.6 72.5 68 69.4 64 0 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 Slide 9 THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY OPERATING PERFORMANCE (¢/PKM) Passenger Yield
Slide 6: Cost Composition and Top 5 Expenditure – FY2010/11
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY COST COMPOSITION – FY2010/11 Others 21.3% (+0.2% pt) Fuel 35.0% Passenger Costs (+0.3% pt) 5.1% (-0.2% pt) Handling Costs 7.4% (-0.3% pt) Aircraft Depreciation Staff Costs & Rentals 14.2% 17.0% (-0.7% pt) (+0.7 +0.7% pt) Slide 11 THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY TOP 5 EXPENDITUR
Slide 7: Fuel Expenditure – FY2010/11
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY FUEL EXPENDITURE – FY2010/11 ($ million) 5,000 +100 4,500 +841 3,805 4,000 -263 (+268) 3,537 -410 3,500 Higher Higher Weaker Lower 3,000 weighted volume US Dollar Hedging average uplifted Losses fuel price 0 FY09/10 Price Volume Exchange Hedging FY10/11 Slide 13 THE PARENT
Slide 8: Fuel Expenditure – 4Q FY2010/11
THE PARENT AIRLINE COMPANY FUEL EXPENDITURE – 4Q FY2010/11 ($ million) +37 1,200 +308 1,043 (+193) 1,000 -103 -49 851 800 600 400 Higher Higher Weaker Hedging weighted volume US Dollar Gains 200 average uplifted vs fuel price Losses 0 FY09/10 Price Volume Exchange Hedging FY10/11 Slide 15 THE PARENT
Slide 9: The Group FY2010/11 Results
THE GROUP FY2010/11 RESULTS GROUP REVENUE – FY2010/11 2009/10 2010/11 ($ million) (Proforma) 4,000 3,841 3,750 3,631 3,587 3,500 3,466 3,429 3,305 3,250 2,944 3,000 2,659 2,750 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Slide 18
Slide 10: Group Revenue – FY2010/11
GROUP REVENUE – FY2010/11 2009/10 2010/11 ($ million) (Proforma) 4,000 +412 3,750 (+12%) +687 (+23%) +282 3,500 +807 (+9%) (+30%) 3,250 3,000 2,750 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Slide 19 GROUP EXPENDITURE – FY2010/11 2009/10 2010/11 ($ million) (Proforma) 4,000 3,750 3,500 3,421 3,286 3,332 3,250 3,215 3,155 3,106
Slide 11: Group Expenditure – FY2010/11
GROUP EXPENDITURE – FY2010/11 2009/10 2010/11 ($ million) (Proforma) 4,000 3,750 3,500 +357 +131 +226 (+12%) 3,250 +190 (+4%) (+7%) (+6%) 3,000 2,750 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Slide 21 GROUP OPERATING PROFIT/(LOSS) – FY2010/11 2009/10 2010/11 ($ million) (Proforma) 600 509 500 400 345 323 300 251 241 200 166 10
Slide 12: Group Operating Profit/(Loss) – FY2010/11
GROUP OPERATING PROFIT/(LOSS) – FY2010/11 2009/10 2010/11 ($ million) (Proforma) 600 500 +186 400 (+58%) 300 +556 (n.m.) -75 200 +617 (-31%) (n.m.) 100 0 -100 -200 -300 -400 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 n.m. not meaningful Slide 23 GROUP NET PROFIT/(LOSS) – FY2010/11 2009/10 2010/11 ($ million) (Proforma) 600 500 40
Slide 13: Group Net Profit/(Loss) – FY2010/11
GROUP NET PROFIT/(LOSS) – FY2010/11 2009/10 2010/11 ($ million) (Proforma) 600 500 400 -116 +562 (-29%) 300 (n.m.) -107 200 +596 (-38%) (n.m.) 100 0 -100 -200 -300 -400 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 n.m. not meaningful Slide 25 GROUP REVENUE – FY2010/11 ($ million) Full Year 15,973 15,997 Revenue 16,000 $14,525M 15,5
Slide 14: Group Revenue – FY2010/11
GROUP REVENUE – FY2010/11 ($ million) Full Year 15,632 15,537 Revenue 16,000 (-341) (-460) $14,525M 15,500 15,000 14,525 Year-on-Year 14,146 14,500 (-348) $1,817M 14,000 (+14.3%) 13,500 Year-on-Year 13,000 (ex-SATS) 12,337 12,500 (-371) $2,188M (+17.7%) 0 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 Slide 27 GROUP
Slide 15: Group Expenditure – FY2010/11
GROUP EXPENDITURE – FY2010/11 ($ million) Full Year Half Year 16,000 Expenditure Revenue $13,254M $7,097M 15,500 14,825 15,000 (-268) Year-on-Year 14,500 $609M 14,000 13,662 (+4.8%) (-186) 13,500 12,951 13,254 Year-on-Year 13,000 (-229) (ex-SATS) 12,350 12,500 (-295) $904M (+7.3%) 0 06/07 07/08 08/0
Slide 16: Group Operating Profit and Contribution by Company
GROUP OPERATING PROFIT/(LOSS) – FY2010/11 ($ million) Full Year Half Year 2,500 Op Profit Revenue 1,970 $1,271M $7,097M 2,000 (-155) 1,195 Year-on-Year 1,500 1,271 (-119) $1,208M 1,000 712 (-192) 500 Year-on-Year -13 (ex-SATS) (-76) 0 $1,284M -500 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 Slide 31 CONTRIBUTION
Slide 17: Group Net Profit – FY2010/11
GROUP NET PROFIT – FY2010/11 ($ million) 1,800 +350 1,600 1,419 1,400 1,271 -202 1,200 1,092 1,000 -270 -57 Surplus on Provision 800 disposal of for fines aircraft, imposed on 600 share of SIA Cargo profits of 400 associated companies 200 and JVs, and others 0 Op Profit Non Exceptional Profit Tax No
Slide 18: Group Net Profit – FY2010/11
GROUP NET PROFIT – FY2010/11 ($ million) Half Full Year Year 2,500 Net Revenue Profit 1,953 1,915 $1,092M $7,097M (-176) 2,000 (-134) Year-on-Year 1,500 $876M 924 1,092 1,000 (-138) Year-on-Year (ex-SATS) 500 157 (-59) $935M 0 06/07 07/08 08/09 09/10 10/11 Slide 35 GROUP NET PROFIT – FY2010/11 ($ mi
Slide 19: Per Share Statistics and Dividends
PER SHARE STATISTICS – FY2010/11 2010/11 2009/10 EBITDAR Per Share ($) 3.33 2.25 Earnings Per Share (¢) 91.4 18.2 At 31 Mar 11 At 31 Mar 10 Net Asset Value Per 11.89 11.30 Share ($) Slide 37 DIVIDENDS – FY2010/11 2010/11 2009/10 Earnings Per Share (¢) 91.4 18.2 Interim Dividend Per Share (¢) 20.0 -
Slide 20: Outlook for 2011/12
OUTLOOK FOR 2011/12 CHALLENGES AHEAD Twin challenges of: – High and volatile fuel prices – Forward load concerns Slide 40
Slide 21: Jet Fuel Prices
JET FUEL PRICES Two-and-half year high 25% surge in jet fuel prices since Jan11 – Average price for Apr11: USD140/BBL High and volatile forward prices – Continuing tensions in Middle East Weaken fragile economic recovery Slide 41 JET FUEL PRICES Sing Jet Kero Fuel Price Trend Since 30 Sep 10
Slide 22: Uncertain Economic Outlook; Fleet Development
UNCERTAIN ECONOMIC OUTLOOK Negative outlook in US Fears of sovereign debt crisis in Europe Nuclear radiation in Japan Forward bookings indicate weaker loads in near term Slide 42 OUTLOOK FOR 2011/12 - FLEET DEVELOPMENT No. of Aircraft Operating Fleet at 31 March 11 108 IN: Delivery of A380-8
Slide 23: Outlook for 2011/12 – Group Capital Expenditure
OUTLOOK FOR 2011/12 - GROUP CAPITAL EXPENDITURE FY11/12 FY12/13 FY13/14 FY14/15 FY15/16 Aircraft 2,150 1,400 2,400 2,800 1,950 Other Assets 50 100 100 150 150 Total 2,200 1,500 2,500 2,950 2,100 Slide 44 Singapore Airlines Limited Company Registration No.: 197200078R Further information and media re