Portland General Electric Co · NYSE:POR
Portland General Electric — Technical Presentation (October 2008)
13 slides from Portland General Electric's technical presentation, Oct 21, 2008
Slide 1: Draft Energy Efficiency Resource Assessment and Supply Curves 2008–2027
Draft Energy Efficiency Resource Assessment and Supply Curves 2008 – 2027 for Portland General Electric October 21, 2008
Slide 2: Overview of Presentation
Overview of Presentation • Show a draft of the Technical and Achievable, cost effective potential over 20 year planning horizon. • What is new • Describe the steps of the estimation process • Present total Technical potential for both PPL and PGE. • Provide estimates of Technical and achievable pote
Slide 3: What's New?
What’s New? • Updated utility data • Updated baseline, high efficiency specifications, and costs • Added Benefit/Cost Ratios • Addressed emerging technologies • Commercial model can separate self direct and >1aMW 3
Slide 4: New measures
New measures • Home energy monitors – In home feedback devices that provide real time feedback on electricity consumption • Refrigerator recycling • Minisplit heat pumps – Ductless split system heat pumps featuring Advanced Inverter Technology • Energy Star homes – Updated for new homes code change
Slide 5: Before You Start – Decide On A Cost-Effectiveness Metric
Before You Start – Decide On A Cost-Effectiveness Metric • Participant Cost Test (PTC) – Costs and benefits to the program participant • Total Resource Cost (TRC) – All Quantifiable costs & benefits regardless of who accrues them. Includes participant and others’ costs • Utility Cost Test (UTC) – Qu
Slide 6: Cost Benefit Tests
Cost Benefit Tests • BCR (Benefit Cost Ratio)= NPV of benefits / Total resource cost • NPV of benefits includes: Savings * Avoided Costs Plus Adjustments for Time of use, Hedge Value, Carbon adder, quantifiable Non Energy Benefits (water savings, O&M savings)
Slide 7: Inputs to Resource Potentials Assessment Methodology
Inputs to Resource Potentials Assessment Methodology • Availability • Costs – Scope of measures – Materials & labor • Technologies – Annual O&M • Practices – Periodic Replacement – Applicability territory – Program Admin • Number of units – Externalities • Units savings – Other non-electric – Achiev
Slide 8: 2008-2027 Draft Supply Curve for ETO - Oregon Electric IOU's
2008 - 2027 Draft Supply Curve for ETO - Oregon Electric IOU’s • 769 aMW of Technical Potential at $0.095/kWh Levelized cost Electricity Supply Curve All Sectors, 2027 1,200 Annual Average MW 1,000 800 Technical 600 Achievable 400 Approximate Cost-Effective 200 Screen 0 -$0.100 $0.000 $0.100 $0.200
Slide 9: 2008-2027 Sector Percentages of Technical Potential - Oregon Electric IOU's
2008-2027 Sector Percentages of Technical Potential - Oregon Electric IOU’s All Sector 2027 Technical Potential 769 MWa and Levelized Cost $/kWh, screened by BCR Commercial at $ 0.030 Industrial at $ -0.008 36% 39% Residential at $ 0.039 25%
Slide 10: Residential Sector Measures of Cost Effective Achievable & Technical Potential
2008 - 2027 Residential Sector Measures of Cost Effective Achievable & Technical Potential - Electric Residential Technical Potential 189 aMW and Levelized Cost $/kWh, screened by BCR Weatherize at $ 0.069 HVAC Retrofit at $ 0.036 Lighting Retrofit at $ 0.040 DHW Measures at $ 0.039 Replace DHW at $
Slide 11: Commercial Sector Measures of Cost Effective Achievable & Technical Potential
2008 – 2027 Commercial Sector Measures of Cost Effective Achievable & Technical Potential - Electric C o m m e r c ial Potential 275 aMW and Levelized Cost $/kWh, screened by BCR Retrofit Lighting at $ 0.025 Retrofit HVAC at $ 0.029 Retrofit Controls at $ 0.035 Retrofit DHW at $ 0.023 Transformers a
Slide 12: Industrial Sector and Cross-Cutting Measures of Achievable & Technical Potential
2008 - 2027 Industrial Sector and Cross-Cutting Measures of Cost Effective Achievable & Technical Potential - Electric Industrial Technical Potential 305 aMW and Levelized Cost $/kWh, screened by BCR aMW 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Cross-Cutting Measures Supply & Transformer at $ 0.002 Generic O&M at $ 0
Slide 13: Next Steps
Next Steps • Program Budgets – Ramping in new measures, going deeper with existing programs (2 years). • Deployment Scenarios (20 years). • Integrate with utility IRP’s
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