Citizens Financial Group, Inc. · NYSE:CFG

Citizens Financial — Q4 2024 Earnings Presentation

59 slides from Citizens Financial's earnings presentation, Jan 17, 2025

  1. Slide 1: 4Q24 and 2024 Financial Results

    4Q24 and 2024 Financial Results January 17, 2025

  2. Slide 2: Forward-looking statements and use of non-GAAP financial measures

    Forward-looking statements and use of non-GAAP financial measures This document contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any statement that does not describe historical or current facts is a forward- looking statement. These stat

  3. Slide 3: 4Q24 and FY2024 GAAP summary

    4Q24 and FY2024 GAAP summary Full Year Q/Q Y/Y 2024 vs. 2023 $s in millions 4Q24 3Q24 4Q23 $/bps % $/bps % 2024 2023 $/bps % Net interest income $1,412 $ 1,369 $ 1,488 $ 43 3 % $ (76) (5) % $ 5,633 $ 6,241 $ (608) (10) % Noninterest income 574 532 500 42 8 74 15 2,176 1,983 193 10 Total revenue 1,98

  4. Slide 4: 4Q24 and FY24 Underlying financial summary

    4Q24 and FY24 Underlying financial summary(1) Full Year Q/Q Y/Y 2024 vs. 2023 $s in millions 4Q24 $/bps % $/bps % 2024 2023 $/bps % Net interest income $ 1,412 $ 43 3% $ (76) (5)% $ 5,633 $ 6,241 $ (608) (10)% Noninterest income 564 30 6 64 13 2,161 1,983 178 9 Total revenue 1,976 73 4 (12) (1) 7,79

  5. Slide 5: 4Q24 Underlying financial performance detail

    4Q24 Underlying financial performance detail(1) (A) (B) (C) = (A) + (B) (D) (E) = (C) + (D) $s in millions Legacy Core(2) Private Bank Core Non-Core(3) Total CFG Net interest income $1,376 $57.1 $1,433 $(21) $1,412 Noninterest income 553 10.9 564 — 564 Total revenue 1,929 68.1 1,997 (21) 1,976 Nonin

  6. Slide 6: 2024 Underlying financial performance detail

    2024 Underlying financial performance detail(1) (A) (B) (C) = (A) + (B) (D) (E) = (C) + (D) $s in millions Legacy Core(2) Private Bank Core Non-Core(3) Total CFG Net interest income $5,609 $141.3 $5,750 $(117) $5,633 Noninterest income 2,136 24.7 2,161 — 2,161 Total revenue 7,745 166.1 7,911 (117) 7

  7. Slide 7: 4Q24 and FY2024 Overview

    4Q24 and FY2024 Overview(1) Underlying PPNR drivers ■ 4Q24 Underlying EPS of $0.85; ROTCE of 10.7% $s in millions ■ 4Q24 Underlying PPNR of $684 million, up 4% QoQ 4Q24 QoQ FY24 YoY – NII up 3.1% driven by a 10 bp increase in NIM to 2.87% NII $1,412 3.1 % $5,633 (9.7)% – Fees up 5.6% primarily refle

  8. Slide 8: Net interest income

    Net interest income NII and NIM Linked Quarter $s in millions, except earning assets ■ NII up 3.1%, reflects a higher NIM and slightly lower interest- earning assets $203.1B $200.1B $198.5B $197.2B $196.6B – NIM of 2.87%, up 10 bps QoQ, given the benefit of lower deposit costs and improved mix, fixe

  9. Slide 9: Noninterest income

    Noninterest income(1) Noninterest Income details Linked Quarter ■ Underlying noninterest income increased 5.6%, reflecting the $ following key business drivers: $s in millions 4Q24 3Q24 4Q23 Q/Q Y/Y – Capital markets fees increased $27 million, largely driven by Service charges and fees $ 109 $ 109

  10. Slide 10: Noninterest expense

    Noninterest expense(1) Underlying expense up 3.5% QoQ reflecting investments in Private Bank and Commercial $ Linked Quarter $s in millions 4Q24 3Q24 4Q23 Q/Q Y/Y ■ Underlying noninterest expense of $1.3 billion, up 3.5% Salaries & employee benefits $ 657 $ 643 $ 635 $ 14 $ 22 – Salaries and benefit

  11. Slide 11: Loans and leases

    Loans and leases Period-end Core loans down ~1% QoQ with Private Bank growth largely offsetting Commercial declines Period-end loans and leases Linked Quarter $s in billions ■ Period-end loans down 1.7% including Non-Core portfolio run off of $0.9 billion; Core loans down ~1% $146.0 $143.2 $141.8 $1

  12. Slide 12: Deposit performance and cost of funds

    Deposit performance and cost of funds Strong growth in franchise deposits driven by the Private Bank 4Q24 Period-end deposits Linked Quarter $s in billions ■ Period-end deposits broadly stable, driven by a reduction in higher-cost Treasury and Commercial deposits, offset by growth $177.3 $176.4 $176

  13. Slide 13: Highly diversified and retail-oriented deposit base

    Highly diversified and retail-oriented deposit base $174.8B Period-end deposits Business mix (As of 12/31/24) Product mix Wealth Citizens 1% Business Access Time Banking 6% 13% 12% NIB 21% Commercial Savings 25% 10% Citizens Access Savings 5% Money Market Checking 32% Branch Treasury/ With Interest

  14. Slide 14: Credit quality overview

    Credit quality overview Credit provision expense; Nonaccrual loans $s in millions net charge-offs $s in millions 170% 157% 151% 136% 136% 0.50% 0.52% 0.54% 0.53% 0.46% $1,687 $1,664 $1,469 $1,527 $182$184 $192 $189 $1,364 $171$171 $171 $181 $172 $162 $616 $647 $578 $588 $590 $891 $939 $1,071 $1,017

  15. Slide 15: Allowance for credit losses

    Allowance for credit losses Allowance for credit losses CRE General Office reserve $s in millions 3Q24 4Q24 $2,318 $2,308 $2,306 $2,286 $2,259 Balance ($B) $ 3.2 $ 2.9 ACL ($MM; % coverage) $ 382 12.1 % $ 364 12.4 % 1.96% 1.99% 1.91% 1.88% 1.86% Cumulative NCOs* ($MM) $ 364 $ 433 *Cumulative losses

  16. Slide 16: Strong capital position

    Strong capital position Highlights $s in billions (period-end) 4Q23 1Q24 2Q24 3Q24 4Q24 (1)(2) ■ 4Q24 CET1 ratio of 10.8%(1) compares with 10.6% in 3Q24 Basel III basis – 9.1% CET1 ratio adjusted for AOCI opt-out removal Common equity tier 1 capital $ 18.4 $ 18.1 $ 18.1 $ 17.9 $ 17.9 ■ TBV/share of

  17. Slide 17: Well-positioned businesses

    Well-positioned businesses Transformed Best-positioned Premier Consumer Commercial Private Bank ■ Strong deposit franchise ■ Full suite of Capital Markets & ■ Building premier Private Bank grounded in primary Advisory capabilities and with exceptional service model relationships and high-quality Tre

  18. Slide 18: Transformed Consumer Bank

    Transformed Consumer Bank Significant investments over the years have resulted in Retail-oriented and a higher-quality retail deposit franchise highly insured/secured 4Q24 CFG deposit base Scaled Greater Improved Consumer Deposits Insured/Secured as as % of Total % of Total customer base engagement

  19. Slide 19: Best-positioned Commercial Bank

    Best-positioned Commercial Bank Building momentum for 2025 Delivering results ■ Strong national coverage; building high-performing middle market teams in Florida and California and Capital Markets Treasury Expand geographies, leveraging expanded NYC Metro presence Fees Solutions segments and industr

  20. Slide 20: Building a premier Private Bank

    Building a premier Private Bank As of 12/31/24 Momentum with high-quality growth Positioning to win $s in billions Deposits $12.0 $11.0 ■ Deliver a world-class client experience Total deposit cost of ~2.5% $7.0 ■ Build a distinctive HNW/UHNW brand $5.6 $4.0 ■ Investing in both bank and wealth produc

  21. Slide 21: Building a leading NYC Metro/NJ franchise

    Building a leading NYC Metro/NJ franchise Early momentum taking retail deposit share Significant Commercial opportunity Generating awareness of strong brand ■ ~4K middle market companies with full relationship potential Taking a local/neighborhood-based approach ■ Aligned coverage model to emphasize

  22. Slide 22: FY2025 Outlook vs. 2024

    FY2025 Outlook vs. 2024 2024 2025 Underlying(1) Underlying outlook Net interest income $5,633MM Up 3-5% NIM 2.85% FY2025 NIM of ~3.00% $139.2B spot Spot loans up low single digits driven by Private Bank and 2H25 Commercial activity; up mid single digits excluding Non-Core Loans $142.7B average Avera

  23. Slide 23: FY2025 Underlying expense outlook

    FY2025 Underlying expense outlook(1) Underlying expenses in $s in millions CFG ex Private Bank & Private Wealth Total CFG Up ~2.6% Up ~4% ~$180 ~$5.0B $4,883 ~$115 ~$5.3 B $5,300 $5,078 ~$(170) CFG ex Private TOP/ Other Strategic Compensation/ CFG ex Private Bank efficiencies investments Other Bank

  24. Slide 24: TOP programs key to driving positive operating leverage

    TOP programs key to driving positive operating leverage Transforming how we operate and deliver for customers and colleagues TOP program revenue Commentary $s in millions and efficiency benefits ■ Maintain discipline on discretionary expense ~$425 categories ■ TOP 10 areas of focus – Optimize procur

  25. Slide 25: 1Q25 outlook vs. 4Q24

    1Q25 outlook vs. 4Q24 1Q25 4Q24 Underlying(1) Underlying outlook Net interest income $1,412MM Down 1.5 to 2.5%, reflects day count impact of ~$25MM Noninterest income $564MM Down ~2% given seasonality Noninterest expense $1,292MM Up 1.5-2% given seasonality Net charge-offs $189MM; 53 bps Down modera

  26. Slide 26: Medium-term financial targets

    Medium-term financial targets(1) Medium-term financial targets ROTCE(1) ~16-18% CET1 ~10.00-10.50% Dividend ~35-40% Payout Ratio Efficiency Ratio(1) Mid-50's % Key economic assumptions ■ Real GDP growth averaging ~2-2.5% annually over the medium term ■ Unemployment rate centered around ~4% over the

  27. Slide 27: Meaningful NIM improvement over the medium term

    Meaningful NIM improvement over the medium term Medium-term NIM target 3.25 to 3.50% Factors supporting 3.25 - 3.50% NIM • Swaps and Non-Core run off Rates at or above 4% favor • Steadily improving balance sheet mix top end of range or above • Fed funds terminal range of 3.0 - 4.0% 3.50% • Cumulativ

  28. Slide 28: Medium-term ROTCE outlook

    Medium-term ROTCE outlook(1) ROTCE ~16-18% NIM expands to ~3.25-3.50% ~1% ~(2)% ~2-3% ~1% ~16-18% ~15-16% ~3-4% 10.7% Time- based benefit 4Q24 ROTCE Terminated + Active swaps Consumer Credit AOCI & other MTO swaps & + Fixed-rate Commercial improvement capital impacts Non-Core repricing/BSO Private B

  29. Slide 29: Citizens is an attractive investment opportunity

    Citizens is an attractive investment opportunity Citizens continues to have a series of unique initiatives that will lead to relative medium-term outperformance – Transformed Consumer Bank with further deposit growth and Wealth revenue potential; well positioned in NYC Metro to gain market share; pe

  30. Slide 30: Appendix

    Appendix ■ Financial Performance ■ Balance Sheet Optimization ■ Interest Rate Risk Management ■ Credit

  31. Slide 31: Linked-quarter Underlying results

    Linked-quarter Underlying results(1) Average loans Average deposits Return on average total $s in billions $s in billions tangible assets $142.0 $140.9 ê1% $174.1 $174.3 stable é4 bps 0.88% 0.90% 0.74% 0.78% 3Q24 4Q24 3Q24 4Q24 3Q24 4Q24 Pre-provision profit Net income available to Return on average

  32. Slide 32: Year-over-year Underlying results

    Year-over-year Underlying results(1) Average loans Average deposits Return on average total $s in billions $s in billions tangible assets ê5% ê2% stable $148.0 $140.9 $177.1 $174.3 1.02% 0.90% 0.78% 0.78% 4Q23 4Q24 4Q23 4Q24 4Q23 4Q24 Net income available to Return on average tangible Pre-provision

  33. Slide 33: Full year Underlying results

    Full year Underlying results(1) Average loans Average deposits Return on average total $s in billions $s in billions tangible assets ê6% stable ê16 bps $175.3 $174.5 $152.2 1.13% $142.7 0.91% 0.92% 0.76% FY2023 FY2024 FY2023 FY2024 FY2023 FY2024 Net income available to Return on average tangible Pre

  34. Slide 34: FY2024 Scorecard

    FY2024 Scorecard(1) 2024 2024 Underlying outlook Underlying results Net interest income Down 6-9%; net swaps impact of ~4-5% Down 9.7%; net swaps impact of ~5% ~ NIM FY2024 average 2.80-2.85%; 4Q24 exit NIM ~2.85% FY2024 average 2.85%; 4Q24 2.87% Average loans down 2-3% reflecting Non-Core run off a

  35. Slide 35: Strong liquidity and improving funding profile

    Strong liquidity and improving funding profile Increasing structural long-term debt Maintaining a high level of liquidity $s in billions; period-end while reducing shorter-term borrowings $s in billions $13.4 $53.0 $11.9 $12.5 $12.3 $50.2 $52.0 $52.8 $52.0 $10.2 $41.1 $41.7 $42.4 $42.2 $40.0 27% 27%

  36. Slide 36: BSO actions to further strengthen capital & liquidity, improve returns

    BSO actions to further strengthen capital & liquidity, improve returns Non-Core portfolio $s in billions Quarterly 2025 $6.9 $6.2 $5.5 $2.2 $5.0 $2.1 $4.5 $2.0 $3.4 $1.9 $2.9 $1.8 $2.9 $2.4 $4.7 $1.9 $1.8 $4.1 $1.5 $1.5 $3.5 $3.1 $2.7 $0.3 1.2 $1.4 $— 0.6 4Q24 1Q25 2Q25 3Q25 4Q25 4Q26 4Q27 ■ Non-Cor

  37. Slide 37: Protecting NII and reducing earnings volatility through economic cycles

    Protecting NII and reducing earnings volatility through economic cycles ■ Receive-fixed cash flow swaps represent the primary tool to manage overall asset sensitivity – During 4Q24, executed ~$11.5 billion in forward starting swaps with start dates ranging from 1Q26 to 3Q27 and a W.A. receive rate o

  38. Slide 38: AOCI accretion

    AOCI accretion Projected accretion to TCE and CET1 adjusted for AOCI opt-out removal(1) $s in billions Accretes to CET1(2) TCE CET1(2) 12/31/2024 $(0.9) $(0.3) $(2.4) $(3.6) $(2.7) 12/31/2025 $(0.4) $(0.3) $(2.0) $(2.7) $(2.3) 12/31/2026 $(0.1) $(0.3) $(1.7) $(2.1) $(2.0) ~42% ~26% Burn-off by YE202

  39. Slide 39: $69.8B Commercial credit portfolio

    $69.8B Commercial credit portfolio Diverse and granular portfolio Commercial portfolio risk ratings(4) $s in billions % of ($ in billions) Balances total CFG C&I $74.4 $71.8 $69.8 Finance and Insurance B- and lower 7% 8% 7% Capital call facilities $ 6.1 4% B+ to B 18% Other Finance and Insurance 6.4

  40. Slide 40: Commercial Real Estate - $5.1B Office portfolio: well diversified

    Commercial Real Estate - $5.1B Office portfolio: well diversified(1) Property type $2.9B General Office class & location Life Sciences $1.0B 20% CBD Class A Suburban Class B 15% 27% Credit Tenant CBD Class B 22% 11% $1.1B Suburban Class A 39% General Office 58% $2.9B Suburban Class C 3% CBD Class C

  41. Slide 41: $69.4B Retail credit portfolio

    $69.4B Retail credit portfolio Retail loans(1) High quality, diverse portfolio Other retail ■ Mortgage – FICO ~790 Education - 7% Residential – Weighted-average LTV of ~51% refinance 11% mortgage ■ Home equity – FICO ~760 – ~32% secured by 1st lien Education - 5% – ~99% CLTV less than 80% in school

  42. Slide 42: Allocation of allowance for credit losses by product type

    Allocation of allowance for credit losses by product type December 31, 2024 September 30, 2024 Loans and Loans and Allowance Coverage Allowance Coverage $s in millions Leases Leases Commercial and industrial(1)(2) $ 42,551 $592 1.39 % $ 43,825 $621 1.42 % Commercial real estate 27,225 703 2.58 27,98

  43. Slide 43: Delinquency by product type

    Delinquency by product type December 31, 2024 (%) September 30, 2024 (%) Days Past Due and Accruing Days Past Due and Accruing Current 30-59 60-89 90+ Nonaccrual Current 30-59 60-89 90+ Nonaccrual Commercial and industrial(1) 99.28 % 0.08 % 0.05 % 0.02 % 0.57 % 99.36 % 0.12 % 0.01 % 0.01 % 0.50 % Co

  44. Slide 44: Notable items

    Notable items(1) Quarterly results reflect notable items primarily related to integration costs associated with recent acquisitions, as well as TOP revenue and efficiency initiatives and other items. In addition, fourth quarter 2024 and fourth quarter 2023 include a notable item for an industry-wide

  45. Slide 45: Notes

    Notes Notes on Non-GAAP Financial Measures See important information on our use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures at the beginning this presentation and reconciliations to GAAP financial measures at the end of this presentation. Non-GAAP measures are herein defined as Underlying results. Where there is

  46. Slide 46: Notes continued

    Notes continued Notes on slide 18 - Transformed Consumer Bank 1) Mass affluent and above are retail households with the higher value of IXI or current month deposit/investment balances greater than or equal to $100K. 2) Estimated based on available company disclosures. 3) Includes collateralized sta

  47. Slide 47: Notes continued

    Notes continued Notes on slide 41 - $69.4B Retail credit portfolio 1) See general note c). 2) Reflects period end balances. Notes on slide 42 - Allocation of allowance for credit losses by product type 1) Coverage ratio includes total commercial allowance for unfunded lending commitments and total c

  48. Slide 48: Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations

    Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations $s in millions, except share, per share and ratio data QUARTERLY TRENDS FULL YEAR 4Q24 Change 2024 Change 4Q24 3Q24 4Q23 3Q24 4Q23 2024 2023 2023 $ % $ % $ % Noninterest income, Underlying: Noninterest income (GAAP) A $574 $532 $500 $42 8% $74 15% $2,1

  49. Slide 49: Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations

    Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations $s in millions, except share, per share and ratio data QUARTERLY TRENDS FULL YEAR 4Q24 Change 2024 Change 4Q24 3Q24 4Q23 3Q24 4Q23 2024 2023 2023 $/bps % $/bps % $/bps % Operating leverage: Total revenue (GAAP) C $1,986 $1,901 $1,988 $85 4.56% ($2) 0.0

  50. Slide 50: Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations

    Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations QUARTERLY TRENDS FULL YEAR $s in millions, except share, per share and ratio data 4Q24 Change 2024 Change 4Q24 3Q24 4Q23 3Q24 4Q23 2024 2023 2023 $/bps % $/bps % $/bps % Return on average total tangible assets and return on average total tangible asset

  51. Slide 51: Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations

    Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations $s in millions, except share, per share and ratio data QUARTERLY TRENDS FULL YEAR 4Q24 Change 2024 Change 4Q24 3Q24 4Q23 3Q24 4Q23 2024 2023 2023 $/bps % $/bps % $/bps % Card fees, Underlying: Card fees (GAAP) $97 $93 $70 $4 4% $27 39% $368 $296 $72 24

  52. Slide 52: Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations

    Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations $s in millions, except share, per share and ratio data QUARTERLY TRENDS 2Q24 1Q24 Noninterest income, Underlying: Noninterest income (GAAP) A $553 $517 Less: Notable items 4 3 Noninterest income, Underlying (non-GAAP) B $549 $514 Total revenue, Underly

  53. Slide 53: Non-GAAP reconciliations - CET1 adjusted for AOCI opt-out removal

    Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations - CET1 adjusted for AOCI opt-out removal $s in millions, except share, per share and ratio data 4Q24 3Q24 CET1 Ratio adjusted for AOCI opt-out removal CET1 capital $ 17,900 $ 17,941 Less: AFS securities - AOCI 1,613 1,181 HTM securities - AOCI(1) 756 7

  54. Slide 54: Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations

    Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations $s in millions, except share, per share and ratio data QUARTERLY TRENDS 4Q24 Change 4Q24 3Q24 4Q23 3Q24 4Q23 $/bps % $/bps % Total Retail loans - at period-end $69,427 $69,824 $71,514 ($397) (1%) ($2,087) (3%) Less: Non-core retail loans - at period-en

  55. Slide 55: Non-GAAP reconciliations excluding Private Bank & Non-Core

    Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations excluding Private Bank & Non-Core $s in millions, except share, per share and ratio data QUARTERLY TRENDS FULL YEAR 4Q24 3Q24 4Q23 2024 2023 Net income available to common stockholders, Underlying: Net income available to common stockholders (GAAP) $36

  56. Slide 56: Non-GAAP reconciliations excluding Private Bank & Non-Core

    Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations excluding Private Bank & Non-Core $s in millions, except share, per share and ratio data QUARTERLY TRENDS FULL YEAR 4Q24 3Q24 4Q23 2024 2023 Return on average total tangible assets and return on average total tangible assets, Underlying: Average total

  57. Slide 57: Non-GAAP reconciliations excluding Private Bank & Non-Core

    Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations excluding Private Bank & Non-Core* 4Q24 (GAAP) 4Q24 Notables 4Q24 (Non-GAAP) Commercial Consumer Legacy Private (3) Private Legacy Private Other Non-Core Legacy Non-Core Non-Core Total $s in millions Banking Banking(1) Core(2) Bank Bank Core Bank Net i

  58. Slide 58: Non-GAAP reconciliations excluding Private Bank & Non-Core

    Non-GAAP financial measures and reconciliations excluding Private Bank & Non-Core* 4Q 2024 YTD (GAAP) 4Q 2024 YTD Notables 4Q 2024 YTD (Non-GAAP) Commercial Consumer Legacy Private (3) Private Legacy Private Other Non-Core Legacy Non-Core Non-Core Total $s in millions Banking Banking(1) Core(2) Bank

  59. Slide 59: Citizens Financial Group, Inc.

    3< Citizens Financial Group, Inc.”

Citizens Financial Group — Q4 2024 Earnings Presentation on 6ix