Elia Group SA/NV · EURONEXT:ELI
Elia Group SA/NV — Investor Presentation (December 2014)
32 slides from Elia Group SA/NV's investor presentation, Dec 10, 2014
Slide 1: Expert Working Group
Expert Working Group Dec 10th, 2014
Slide 2: Agenda
Agenda • Baselining (9:30-10:30) • SDR 2015 process for prequalification (10:30-11:30) • Planning submission offer to ELIA (11:30-12:00) Expert Working Group – 10/12/2014 2
Slide 3: Agenda
Agenda • Baselining (9:30-10:30) • SDR 2015 process for prequalification (10:30-11:30) • Planning submission offer to ELIA (11:30-12:00) Expert Working Group – 10/12/2014 3
Slide 4: Introduction
Intoduction Reminder • A baseline is an estimate of the electricity that would have been consumed/produced by a customer in the absence of a demand response event. effectively activated Event duration energy volume Consumption P [kW] Fixed shedding limit • The baseline is required at least for the c
Slide 5: Baseline method
Baseline method General Calculation of the baseline is based on 1/4h-measured data coming from individual meter (headmeter @DSO-grid and submeter @Elia-grid). For SDR, the demand response (DR) period is defined as the period between the ‘verification deadline’ and the notification of the end. Th
Slide 6: Proposal of baseline method
Proposal of baseline method Slide presented at Expert WG 17/11/2014 by Aggregators AMR = Automatic Meter Reading Expert Working Group – 10/12/2014 6
Slide 7: Baseline method: High X of Y
Baseline method High X of Y • Type of days Weekday Week-end day and holiday • Excluding days Days on which a demand response event has occurred Days on which a strategic reserve trigger (both economical and technical) has occurred Non-representative days meaning days on which a specific ev
Slide 8: Baseline method: High X of Y
Baseline method High X of Y • Methodology The start of the event defines the type of the day. If the event occurs on a weekday, apply the methodology High 4 of 5 (average calculation): Taking into account the excluding days, take the 5 most recent weekdays prior to the event day. For each of the
Slide 9: Baseline method: High X of Y example
Baseline method High 4 of 5 – example Consumption [kW] 1 day [1/4h] Expert Working Group – 10/12/2014 9
Slide 10: Baseline method: High X of Y
Baseline method High X of Y • Methodology If the event occurs on a weekend day, apply the methodology High 2 of 3 just as described on the previous slide. Expert Working Group – 10/12/2014 10
Slide 11: Baseline method: Adjustment
Baseline method Adjustment • Adjustment (uncapped symmetric additive) The proposed adjustment is made on the measured data of the day, prior to the notification. Calculate the average consumption over the 4 days on the period of 3 hours preceding the notification of the event. Calculate the aver
Slide 12: Baseline method: Adjustment example
Baseline method Adjustment – example Consumption [kW] -1145 kW 1 day [1/4h] Expert Working Group – 10/12/2014 12
Slide 13: Baseline method: Precision
Baseline method Precision • Relative RMSE n baseline value − measured value 2 𝑅𝑀𝑆𝐸 = i=1 i i n RMSE 𝑅𝑒𝑙𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑒 𝑅𝑀𝑆𝐸 = n i=1 measured valuei n avec n = number of 1/4h corresponding to the DR period • Example : RRMSE = 3,4% Expert Working Group – 10/12/2014 13
Slide 14: Baseline method: Example
Baseline method Example (Saturday at the end of December) RRMSE = 15,5% Expert Working Group – 10/12/2014 14
Slide 15: Agenda
Agenda • Baselining (9:30-10:30) • SDR 2015 process for prequalification (10:30-11:30) • Planning submission offer to ELIA (11:30-12:00) Expert Working Group – 10/12/2014 15
Slide 16: R3DP 2016 SDR DSO 2015-2016
R3DP 2016 SDR DSO 2015-2016 Expert WG ELIA 10/12/2014
Slide 17: Agenda
Agenda SDR2015/2016 & R3DP2016 High level proces Detailed description Questions & Answers - NETWORK FLEX STUDY Why is this needed? Why is there no NFS for the on/off campaign? What is the process if an EAN is “colored red” after an NFS? - At the end: Discussion on the overall process (ti
Slide 18: High level process: DNO viewpoint
SDR2015-2016 & R3DP2016: DNO viewpoint High level proces Signing framework contract: DNB-FSP Customer Connection Contract Check Deadline tendering b c (Elia – Aggr.) Start product End product d a NFS Certification Update Data services Elia (SDR) pool FSP DNB - TNB (appendix) yy/yy/yyyy Deadline fo
Slide 19: High level process: state of an EAN
SDR2015-2016 & R3DP2016: EAN viewpoint High level proces: state of an EAN * CCCC NFS ( cert )( ) Contr DS Access Customer Positive Flex register – Activation Register Contract Network Flex list of EANs register – Check Study combined with calculated flex product and per EAN (and FSP then aggregate
Slide 20: Customer Connection Contract Check
SDR2015-2016 & R3DP2016 Customer Connection Contract Check Customer Connection Contract Check Customer Contract What? Check • Summary of the connection contract What not? • A way to change the connection contract this is a business as usual process How? • Automatically for customers who al
Slide 21: NFS
SDR2015-2016 & R3DP2016 NFS NFS DNB - TNB Positive Network Flex Note: Check of customer contract is a prerequisite (needed to minimize the lead time) study What? • Study to investigate possible problems with simultaneity • Independent of the product (R3DP or SDR) • Permission for an EAN to take
Slide 22: Certification / Tendering / Contract
SDR2015-2016 & R3DP2016 Certifi- Contract Certification / Tendering / Contract cation Flex register – list of Certification EANs combined with • Elia task (cfr. Taskforce iSR) only in case for the pool of EANs that wants to take part in Strategic Reserves product and FSP Tendering • Elia task
Slide 23: Data services
SDR2015-2016 & R3DP2016 Data Data services services Activation register – Note: only for EANs present in the flex register calculated flex per What? EAN (and then aggregated to • Data services are only delivered to Elia (and others if necessary) on metering data requestor) that is present in our
Slide 24: Agenda
Agenda SDR2015/2016 & R3DP2016 High level proces Detailed description Questions & Answers - NETWORK FLEX STUDY Why is this needed? Why is there no NFS for the on/off campaign? What is the process if an EAN is “colored red” after an NFS? 24 Expert Working Group – 10/12/2014
Slide 25: Questions & Answers – search for solutions
Questions & Answers – search for solutions NETWORK FLEX STUDY Why is this needed? The NFS is performed in order to avoid two kind of problems related to simultaneity: Congestion caused by local production units because of simultaneous reduction of local load. o Considering the fact that for SDR
Slide 26: Questions & Answers – search for solutions
Questions & Answers – search for solutions NETWORK FLEX STUDY Why is there no NFS for the on/off campaign? Indeed the on/off campaign is a possible risk for the operational security, but: This is not comparable, because there is no “one moment” of activation. Furthermore, focusses at low vol
Slide 27: Questions & Answers – search for solutions
Questions & Answers – search for solutions NETWORK FLEX STUDY What is the process if an EAN is “colored red” after an NFS? DNOs will give full motivation on the reasons why an EAN is colored red Whenever possible, we will more strictly define the time windows where problems could occur. pres
Slide 28: Thank you for your attention
Thank you for your attention 28 Expert Working Group – 10/12/2014
Slide 29: Agenda
Agenda • Baselining (9:30-10:30) • SDR 2015 process for prequalification (10:30-11:30) • Planning submission offer to ELIA (11:30-12:00) 29 Expert Working Group – 10/12/2014
Slide 30: Customer Contract Check
deadli certifi reque Customer result to ELIA Contract Customer Check Contract request Check dead to DSO by DSO NFS- reque to DS Customer result Contract Customer deadline result deadline outcome Check Contract NFS-request NFS-request certification certification request Check to DSO by DSO request by
Slide 31: Planning (to be confirmed at next TFiSR)
Planning (to be confirmed at next TFiSR) 15/4/2015 • a = CCC process • b = NFS process • c = ELIA certification process • d = offer preparation time for candidates Deadline submission offer to ELIA … Sun 22/2/2015 Fri 13/3/2015 Mon 16/3/2015 Mon 30/3/2015 Wed 1/4/2015 Fri 10/4/2015 15/4/2015 31 Expe
Slide 32: Thanks for your attention.
Thanks for your attention. Expert Working Group – 10/12/2014 32