Constellation Energy Corporation · NASDAQ:CEG
Constellation Energy — Investor Presentation (December 2023)
63 slides from Constellation Energy's investor presentation, December 2023
Slide 1: Investor Presentation December 2023
Investor Presentation December 2023
Slide 2: Cautionary Statements Regarding Forward-Looking Information
Cautionary Statements Regarding Forward-Looking Information This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Words such as “could,” “may,” “expects,” “anticipates,” “w
Slide 3: Non-GAAP Financial Measures
Non-GAAP Financial Measures The Registrants report their financial results in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP). Constellation supplements the reporting of financial information determined in accordance with GAAP with certain non-GAAP financial meas
Slide 4: Non-GAAP Financial Measures Continued
Non-GAAP Financial Measures Continued This information is intended to enhance an investor’s overall understanding of period over period financial results and provide an indication of Constellation’s baseline operating performance by excluding items that are considered by management to be not directl
Slide 5: Constellation at a Glance
Constellation at a Glance • #1 provider of carbon-free 24/7 • #1 in market share for C&I • Fortune 200 company, based on energy in the United States customers (2) $24.4B in operating revenues in • Lowest carbon emissions and • #2 retail electricity provider (2) 2022 carbon intensity generator in the
Slide 6: Constellation is Uniquely Positioned to Create Value for Shareholders
Constellation is Uniquely Positioned to Create Value for Shareholders Unmatched, Premium Assets in the U.S. • Best-in-class nuclear operations • Largest producer of reliable, carbon-free, clean electricity • Largest provider of electricity to C&I customers • Provides customers with hourly carbon-fre
Slide 7: Constellation's Value Proposition
Constellation’s Value Proposition Enduring Businesses Ready to Meet The Climate Crisis • World-Class nuclear operator and largest generator of 24/7 carbon-free firm electricity with ability to extend asset lives • Largest provider of energy solutions to commercial and industrial customers • Strong a
Slide 8: Constellation is the Largest Producer of Carbon-Free Electricity in the United States
Constellation is the Largest Producer of Carbon-Free Electricity in the United States Largest Producers of Carbon-Free Lowest CO2 Emissions Among Major Lowest Carbon Intensity Among Generation (1,2) Investor-Owned Generators (2) Major Investor-Owned Generators (2) million MWh million short tonnes lb
Slide 9: Strong Operations Deliver Reliable and Affordable Carbon-Free Power
Strong Operations Deliver Reliable and Affordable Carbon-Free Power Nuclear Capacity Factor (%) (1,2) Average Nuclear Refueling Outage Days (2,4) Industry Average Industry Average Ranking Among Major Ranking Among Major 95.7% 95.4% 94.8% Operators (2-Yr) (3) Operators (3) 94.6% 94.5% 40 90.8% 91.7%
Slide 10: Leading Customer Platform Enables Customers to Meet Their Energy and Sustainability Needs
Leading Customer Platform Enables Customers to Meet Their Energy and Sustainability Needs Leading Customer Operational Metrics (TTM) (1) 2022 Electric Load Served by Region (TWhs) Wholesale Retail 90% 71 79% 25 55 50 13 25 36% 18% 46 16 16 37 30 2 14 Power New Gas New Customer C&I Power Customer C&I
Slide 11: Financial Disclosures
ll Financial Disclosures =a <= Constellation.
Slide 12: Providing Value to Our Shareholders Through Our Capital Allocation Plan
Providing Value to Our Shareholders Through Our Capital Allocation Plan 12
Slide 13: Growth Opportunities Can Deliver Value for Our Shareholders
Growth Opportunities Can Deliver Value for Our Shareholders We may pursue growth opportunities that provide additional value building on our core businesses or expanding our competitive advantages • Opportunistic carbon-free energy acquisitions, particularly nuclear plants with supportive policy • C
Slide 14: Investments in Carbon-Free Future that Comfortably Exceed our Double-Digit Return Threshold
Investments in Carbon-Free Future that Comfortably Exceed our Double- Digit Return Threshold Commercial Hydrogen Production Nuclear Uprates • Hydrogen facility will initially use ~250 MWs • Increasing nuclear output by ~135 MWs at and produce ~33,450 TPA hydrogen, with the Byron and Braidwood abilit
Slide 15: Gross Margin Update
Gross Margin* Update September 30, 2023 Change from June 30, 2023 Gross Margin* Category ($M) (1) 2023 2024 2023 2024 Open Gross Margin* $5,000 $5,950 $450 $550 (including South, West, New England, Canada hedged gross margin) Contracted Revenues (Capacity, ZEC and IL CMC Plant Revenues) (2) $2,950 $
Slide 16: Adjusted O&M and Capital Expenditures
Adjusted O&M* and Capital Expenditures Adjusted O&M* 2023-2025 Investing for Long-Term Value Through CapEx (1) ($M) ($M) $2,575 $2,525 $2,475 $5,000 $4,900 $4,850 $400 $575 $525 $1,175 $1,175 $1,175 $1,000 $775 $800 2023E 2024E 2025E 2023E 2024E 2025E Adjusted O&M* Commited Growth Nuclear Fuel Basel
Slide 17: Constellation's Strong Balance Sheet Recognized by S&P's Upgrade to BBB+
Constellation’s Strong Balance Sheet Recognized by S&P’s Upgrade to BBB+ 2023E Credit Metrics (1) Current Credit Ratings Book Excluding Non-Recourse Moody’s Baa2; positive outlook 45% S&P BBB+; stable outlook (2) 35% 2.2x 1.8x Share Repurchase Update Under our $1 billion authorization for share repu
Slide 18: Long-Term Debt Maturity Profile
Long-Term Debt Maturity Profile (1) As of 9/30/2023 Long-Term Debt Balances (2) ($M) Recourse $6.1B Non-Recourse $1.5B Total Long-Term Debt $7.6B $23 $334 $900 $900 $900 $750 $788 $600 $500 $350 $79 2039 2024 2026 2029 2034 2036 2044 2046 2049 2023 2025 2031 2032 2033 2035 2051 2052 2053 2027 2030 2
Slide 19: Approximately $1.2 Billion of Capital Still to be Allocated in 2023-2024
Approximately $1.2 Billion of Capital Still to be Allocated in 2023-2024 ($B) ($0.2) $1.1 - $1.5 ($1.0) Completed ~$750M $4.1 - $4.5 through September 30 ($0.8) ($0.8) ($0.3) ($1.0) Pro Forma FCFbg* (1) $3.9 - $4.3 ($1.75) $0.32 $1.0 - $1.4 Beginning Cash Available (2) $0.2 2023 - 2024 Debt Issuance
Slide 20: Raised Full-Year Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Range to $3,800M - $4,000M
Raised Full-Year Adjusted EBITDA* Guidance Range to $3,800M - $4,000M ($M) $4,000 $3,900 $3,700 $3,800 $3,500 $3,300 $3,300 $3,100 $2,667 $2,900 $2,185 2021 Results 2022 Results 2023 Original 2023 Previously Revised Current 20
Slide 21: Environmental, Social & Governance
Environmental, Social & Governance 21
Slide 22: Constellation's ESG Principles
Constellation’s ESG Principles Our Value Proposition and ESG Principles Constellation’s Carbon-Free Policy Advocacy Constellation is positioned to deliver long-term value for our shareholders through our enduring businesses that are ready to ESG Principles meet the climate crisis. We are leading the
Slide 23: Accelerating the Transition to a Carbon-Free Future
Accelerating the Transition to a Carbon-Free Future Constellation Launched Volta partnership separation from Exelon to accelerate the deployment of energy storage technologies to Constellation’s Climate enable electric vehicles and Commitment: 100% complement renewable owned generation energy deploy
Slide 24: Constellation's Climate Commitment
Constellation’s Climate Commitment 100% Of our owned generation will be 100% Reduction of our operations- 100% Of C&I customers provided with carbon-free by 2040 driven emissions by 2040 (1) specific information about how to meet GHG reduction goals Clean Energy Supply: Clean Electricity Supply:
Slide 25: Constellation's Emissions are Already Significantly Below Paris Climate Agreement Levels
Constellation’s Emissions are Already Significantly Below Paris Climate Agreement Levels 0.700 Below 2 Degrees C Constellation (1) 1.5 Degrees C 0.600 National Pledges 0.500 t CO2e/MWh 0.400 0.300 0.200 0.100 0.000 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Reflects Transition Pathw
Slide 26: Nuclear is One of the Cleanest and Safest Forms of Power Generation
Nuclear is One of the Cleanest and Safest Forms of Power Generation Nuclear has the Lowest GHG Lifecycle Emissions by Nuclear has One of the Lowest Mortality Rates per TWh Source (1) of Electricity (2) 32.72 1,000 900 Minimum g CO2 eq. per kWh Range of Lifecycle GHG Emissions Observed 800 24.62 g CO
Slide 27: Constellation's Nuclear Plants are Clean Energy Centers
Constellation’s Nuclear Plants are Clean Energy Centers Hydrogen Data Center Direct Air Capture Flexible Grid Energy and Capacity (24/7) 27
Slide 28: State and Federal Policies
State and Federal Policies 28
Slide 29: Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) Transforms Constellation
Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) Transforms Constellation Nuclear PTC Floor Price (1,2) Limits downside risk while providing $/MWh upside opportunity $60 $59.00 $57.00 $55 Enables nuclear fleet life extension $50.88 $50 $45 Opportunities to grow, including H2, nuclear uprates, and wind repowering / ref
Slide 30: PTC Provides Support for Nuclear Units When Revenues Fall Below $43.75/MWh
PTC Provides Support for Nuclear Units When Revenues Fall Below $43.75/MWh Illustrative Payoff Dynamics for Non-State-Supported Units in 2024 60 • The PTC provides support of up to $15.00/MWh for units 55 PTC provides when revenues are between $25.00/MWh and Market Revenues + PTC ($/MWh) support fro
Slide 31: Inflation of Nuclear Production Tax Credit (PTC)
Inflation of Nuclear Production Tax Credit (PTC) (1) PTC Overview Example Assuming 2%, 3% and 4% Inflation (2) • The PTC is in effect beginning after 12/31/23 and through 12/31/32 2% Inflation 3% Inflation 4% Inflation • In the base year 2024, Constellation qualifies for the nuclear PTC up to $15.00
Slide 32: Zero-Emission Credit (ZEC) Overview and Timelines
Zero-Emission Credit (ZEC) Overview and Timelines State 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 New York April ’17 March ‘29 Illinois June ’17 May ‘27 New Jersey June ‘22 May ‘25 Program Elements New York ZEC Program Illinois ZEC Program New Jersey ZEC Program Under the state’s clean energy standard
Slide 33: New York ZEC Price Determination
New York ZEC Price Determination Energy and Short Ton to U.S. SCC Baseline RGGI Net CO2 Capacity MWh Adjusted SCC Reference Price Upstate ZEC Tranche Date "Central Value“ Estimate Externality Forecast (Conversion ($/MWh) ($/MWh) Price ($/MWh) ($/Short Ton) ($/Short Ton) ($/Short Ton) Adjustment Fact
Slide 34: Illinois Carbon Mitigation Credit (CMC) Overview and Timelines
Illinois Carbon Mitigation Credit (CMC) Overview and Timelines Plant State Capacity (MW) 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Braidwood IL 2,386 June ’22 May ‘27 Byron IL 2,347 June ’22 May ‘27 Dresden IL 1,845 June ’22 May ‘27 Program Elements Illinois Carbon Mitigation Credits Program • IL
Slide 35: Nuclear
35) Nuclear =a <= Constellation.
Slide 36: Firm Nuclear Power Plays a Unique Role in the Fight Against the Climate Crisis
Firm Nuclear Power Plays a Unique Role in the Fight Against the Climate Crisis 24/7 80 years Firm Carbon-Free Resilient Variable License Renewals Nuclear power Nuclear power has Renewables Second license provides firm carbon- onsite fuel for 18-24 Nuclear power can renewals will extend free electric
Slide 37: Extending the Life of our Nuclear Fleet to 80 Years
Extending the Life of our Nuclear Fleet to 80 years 22,000 20,000 Potential Subsequent License Renewal for Remaining Fleet Dresden Subsequent License Renewal (80 Years) 18,000 Clinton License Renewal (60 Years) Clinton Subsequent License Renewal (80 Years) 16,000 Peach Bottom Subsequent License Rene
Slide 38: Process for Subsequent License Renewal
Process for Subsequent License Renewal • Under the Atomic Energy Act, reactor licenses are limited to an initial period of 40 years. This was based on antitrust considerations, not limitations in the technology. • NRC permits nuclear reactor licensees to renew license periods of 20 years from 40 to
Slide 39: Securing Nuclear Fuel Supply Through 2028
Securing Nuclear Fuel Supply Through 2028 Nuclear Fuel Capital Expenditures • We have built a diverse and resilient portfolio that can ($M) $1,175 $1,175 $1,175 withstand a Russian supply disruption • We entered into contracts to increase our inventory to mitigate the risk of possible supply disrupt
Slide 40: Constellation's Nuclear Fuel Hedging Strategy
Constellation’s Nuclear Fuel Hedging Strategy Operational Risk Management Financial Risk Management • Hedge well in advance to secure supply and avoid near-term costs • Structure forward contracts to control price risk variability • Establish metrics to measure and forecast cost variability • Promot
Slide 41: Nuclear Fuel Cycle – Front End
Nuclear Fuel Cycle – Front End (1) Mining and Conversion Enrichment Fabrication Milling • Uranium mining can be done • U3O8 is then converted to uranium • When uranium is mined, milled and • Fabrication plants convert enriched through conventional methods hexafluoride (UF6) converted, only approxima
Slide 42: Uranium is Relatively Abundant
Uranium is Relatively Abundant Global Distribution of Identified Resources Distribution of Reasonably Assured (<USD 130/kgU as of 1 January 2021) Resources (RAR) 1,400 <USD 130-260/kgU <USD 80-130/kgU <USD 40-80/kgU 1,200 <USD 40/kgU 1,000 1,000 tU 800 600 400 200 0 Canada Russia China Niger Austrai
Slide 43: Conversion, Enrichment and Fabrication
Conversion, Enrichment and Fabrication 2022 Conversion Enrichment Fabrication (% Total Capacity Utilization) (1) (% Total Capacity) (% U.S. Capacity) (6) Orano (France) (2) CNNC (China) 21% Other (5) 14% Framatome Orano (France) 28% 12% Rosatom (Russia) CNNC (China) (3) 29% 25% 44% Westinghouse 49%
Slide 44: Disposal of Nuclear Fuel is the Responsibility of the U.S. Government
Disposal of Nuclear Fuel is the Responsibility of the U.S. Government • Under the Nuclear Waste Policy Act (NWPA) of 1982, DOE is responsible for the development of a permanent geologic repository for the disposal of spent nuclear fuel and high-level radioactive waste from existing nuclear plants •
Slide 45: Spent Nuclear Fuel is Safely and Securely Stored
Spent Nuclear Fuel is Safely and Securely Stored We know where every ounce of nuclear fuel is located: 100% of spent nuclear fuel is contained, numbered, catalogued, tracked and isolated from the environment Strong oversight from U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC): Spent nuclear fuel is stored
Slide 46: Zero-Emitting Nuclear is Prime Vehicle for Producing Hydrogen
Zero-Emitting Nuclear is Prime Vehicle for Producing Hydrogen Superior Low barriers to Scalable and Advantageous Enhanced criticality Economics implementation iterative end-uses of nuclear assets Green hydrogen from Existing nuclear Electrolyzer capacity Certain end-uses With increasing nuclear curr
Slide 47: Appendix
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Slide 48: Nuclear Fleet Overview
Nuclear Fleet Overview License 2-Year License Capacity Policy Support Spent Fuel Plant Location Type/Containment Extension Ownership Capacity Expiration (1) (MW) (2) (Term) Storage Status Factor (3) Braidwood, IL Pressurized Water Reactor Unit 1: 2046 CMC Unit 1: 96.4% Renewed 2,386 Constellation: 1
Slide 49: Commercial Disclosures
Commercial Disclosures September 30, 2023 49
Slide 50: Components of Gross Margin Categories
Components of Gross Margin* Categories Gross margin* from Gross margin* linked to power production and sales other business activities Contracted MtM of “Power” New “Non Power” “Non Power” Open Gross Margin* Revenues Business Executed New Business Hedges (2) •Generation Gross •Expected contracted •M
Slide 51: Gross Margin
Gross Margin* September 30, 2023 Change from June 30, 2023 (1) Gross Margin Category ($M) 2023 2024 2023 2024 Open Gross Margin (including South, West, New England & Canada hedged GM)* $5,000 $5,950 $450 $550 (2) Contracted Revenues (Capacity, ZEC and IL CMC Plant Revenues) $2,950 $2,750 - - (3) Mar
Slide 52: Generation and Hedges
Generation and Hedges September 30, 2023 Change from June 30, 2023 Generation and Hedges 2023 2024 2023 2024 (1) Expected Generation (GWh) 195,400 198,200 (800) (600) (2) Midwest (Total) 95,500 96,000 100 (400) Midwest (Excluding CMCs) 40,900 42,200 - (100) Mid-Atlantic 55,300 55,600 500 (500) ERCOT
Slide 53: Sensitivities
Sensitivities Nuclear PTC Value For Plants Not Gross Margin* (3) Supported By State Programs Change from Change from September 30, 2023 September 30, 2023 June 30, 2023 June 30, 2023 (1,2) Sensitivities - with existing hedges ($M) 2023 2024 2023 2024 2024 2024 NiHub ATC Energy Price + $5.00/MWh - $8
Slide 54: Illustrative Example of Modeling 2024 Total Gross Margin
Illustrative Example of Modeling 2024 Total Gross Margin* Midwest (3) Row Item (2) Mid-Atlantic ERCOT New York (Excl. CMCs) (A) Start with fleet-wide open gross margin* $5.95 billion (B) Contracted Revenues $2.75 billion (C) Expected Generation (TWh) 42.2 55.6 21.6 25.0 (D) Hedge % (assuming mid-poi
Slide 55: Additional Constellation Modeling Data
Additional Constellation Modeling Data Total Gross Margin* Reconciliation ($M) (1) 2023 2024 Adjusted Operating Revenues* (2) $27,225 $30,100 Note: 323 million average outstanding diluted shares as of September 30, 2023, per Form 10-Q Adjusted Purchased Power and Fuel* (2) ($17,575) ($20,200) (1) It
Slide 56: Appendix Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures
Appendix Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Measures 56
Slide 57: GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (1) FFO (a) CFO (Pre-WC) (c) S&P FFO/Debt (2) = Moody’s CFO Pre-WC/Debt (3) = Adjusted Debt (b) Adjusted Debt (d) S&P FFO Calculation (2) Moody’s CFO Pre-WC Calculation (3) GAAP Operating Income Cash Flow From Operations + Depreciation & Amortization +/- Working Capi
Slide 58: GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations (1) Net Debt (a) Net Debt/EBITDA Net Debt (c) Net Debt/EBITDA = = Adjusted EBITDA* (b) Excluding Non-Recourse Adjusted EBITDA* (d) Net Debt Calculation Net Debt Calculation Excluding Non-Recourse Long-Term Debt (including current maturities) Long-Term Debt (including
Slide 59: GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation Three Months Ended Nine Months Ended September 30, September 30, Adjusted EBITDA* Reconciliation ($M) 2022 2023 2022 2023 GAAP Net (Loss) Income ($188) $731 ($194) $1,660 Note: Items may not sum due to rounding Income Taxes (1) ($149) $209 ($472) $682 (1) Includes amo
Slide 60: GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation Adjusted EBITDA* Reconciliation ($M) 2023 GAAP Net Income $2,025 - $2,225 Income Taxes $850 Interest Expense $450 Depreciation and Amortization $1,100 Unrealized (Gain)/Loss on Fair Value Adjustments (1) ($500) Pension and OPEB Non-Service Credits ($50) Decommissionin
Slide 61: GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation Adjusted O&M* Reconciliation ($M) 2023 2024 2025 GAAP O&M $5,575 $5,325 $5,250 Decommissioning (1) ($175) ($200) ($175) Direct cost of sales incurred to generate revenues for ($225) ($225) ($225) certain Commercial and Power businesses (2) Separation Costs (3) ($125)
Slide 62: GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation
GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliation Free Cash Flow before Growth* ($M) 2023 - 2024 Adjusted Cash Flows from Operations* (Non-GAAP) (1,3) $8,050 - $8,450 Baseline and Nuclear Fuel Capital Expenditures ($4,000) Reinvestment in Nuclear Decommissioning Trust Funds (2) ($450) Collateral activity $150 O&M rel
Slide 63: Contact Information
Contact Information InvestorRelations@constellation.com (833) 447-2783 Links Events and Presentations ESG Resources Reports & SEC Filings 63
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