Invesco Mortgage Capital IncNYSE: IVR

Q3 2025 Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. Earnings Conference Call

· Issued by Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc

Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.

Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call

October 31, 2025

John Anzalone

Chief Executive Officer

Kevin Collins

President

Mark Gregson

Chief Financial Officer

David Lyle

Chief Operating Officer

Brian Norris

Chief Investment Officer



Q3 2025 Results Financial Results Investment Allocation Q3 25

Net income (loss) per common share $0.74

Q2 25

($0.40)

Agency CMO

1.2%

$5.7 billion

Agency RMBS

83.1%

Earnings available for distribution per common share1

$0.58

$0.58

Common stock dividend per share

$0.34

$0.34

Book value per common share2

$8.41

$8.05

Economic return2

8.7%

(4.8%)

Debt-to-equity ratio

6.7x

6.5x

Company Activity

Agency CMBS

15.7%

  • Raised $36.1 million, net of issuance costs, through our at-the-market common stock program

  • Repurchased Series C Preferred Stock with a carrying value of $2.2 million

  • Held $423.4 million of unrestricted cash and unencumbered investments at quarter end

  1. Earnings available for distribution is a non-GAAP financial measure. Refer to Appendix for additional information

  2. Refer to Appendix for additional information

Past performance is not a guarantee of future results

Macro Environment

Interest rates declined modestly in the third quarter as employment data signaled a weakening labor market

despite robust economic growth and improving financial conditions

Treasury Yields Money Market Rates


5.0%

4.5%

4.0%

3.5%

5.5%



5.0%

4.5%

4.0%

3.0%

0 yr 5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr

9/30/2024
6/30/2025
9/30/2025

3.5%

9/24 12/24 3/25 6/25 9/25

Agency MBS Repo 1 Month SOFR 3 Month SOFR

Federal Funds Futures

4.5%

4.0%

3.5%

3.0%

Interest Rate Volatility

(basis points) 125

110

95

80

2.5%

9/25 3/26 9/26 3/27 9/27 3/28

9/30/2024 6/30/2025 9/30/2025 Current

65

9/24 12/24 3/25 6/25 9/25

3M X 10Y Swaption Volatility 3Y X 10Y Swaption Volatility

Agency RMBS Market

Agency mortgages performed well during the third quarter as interest rate volatility continued to decline, while higher coupon specified pool pay-ups improved given lower mortgage rates

Performance vs. Treasuries1

(basis points)

200

150

100

50

0

-50

-100

9/24 12/24 3/25 6/25 9/25

Spread to Treasuries2

(basis points)

140

120

100

80

Specified Pool Pay-ups

($200k max, in points)

$2.0



$1.5

$1.0

$0.5

$0.0

9/24 12/24 3/25 6/25 9/25

FN 5.0% FN 5.5% FN 6.0% FN 6.5%

Dollar Roll Implied Financing Rate

6.5%



5.5%

4.5%

3.5%

60

9/24 12/24 3/25 6/25 9/25

  1. 30 year current coupon hedged performance vs. Treasuries

  2. 30 year current coupon zero volatility spread to Treasuries

Data as of 9/30/2025

2.5%

9/24 12/24 3/25 6/25 9/25

FN 5.0% FN 5.5% FN 6.0% FN 6.5% 1M SOFR

5

Agency RMBS Investments Coupon Allocation

40%

30%

20%

10%

0%

9/30/24
6/30/25
9/30/25

  • Agency RMBS investment portfolio increased 13.2% to $4.8 billion in Q3 2025

    • Net purchased $647 million during the quarter to invest proceeds from ATM issuance, re-invest paydowns, and maintain leverage

    • Purchases were focused in specified pools priced near par with attractively valued prepayment characteristics

    • Higher coupon specified pool pay-ups improved as the decline in mortgage rates resulted in increased value of prepayment protection

      4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5%

      Specified Pool Allocation
  • Q3 2025 specified pool characteristics

    • 10.3% CPR

      50%

      40%

      30%

      9/30/24
      6/30/25
      9/30/25

    • Weighted average coupon of 5.4%

    • Amortized cost to principal balance ratio of 99.1%

    • Period-end weighted average specified pool pay-up of

0.9 points

20%

10%

0%

TBA Loan Balance Geographic

Location

Low Credit

Score

High LTV Investment

Property

Agency RMBS investment portfolio includes specified pools at fair value and TBAs at implied market value

Agency CMBS Investments Allocation
  • Agency CMBS investment portfolio of $0.9 billion at quarter end

    Freddie Multi PCs 19.3%

    Spread to Treasuries

    (basis points)

    70

    $899.5 million

    Fannie DUS 80.7%

  • Agency CMBS risk premiums continued to decline with

    broader financial markets

  • Agency CMBS benefits from:

    • Guarantee of principal and interest from the issuing agency or federally chartered corporation

    • Lower sensitivity to interest rate volatility than Agency RMBS given prepayment protection and balloon payments at maturity

    • Favorable financing terms with multiple counterparties

      60

      50

      40

      9/24 12/24 3/25 6/25 9/25



      Fannie DUS 10/9.5 spread data as of 9/30/2025 7

      Source: JP Morgan

      Financing & Hedging Cost of Funds Protection1

      (in billions)



      $6.0

      $5.0

      $4.0

      $3.0

      $2.0

      $1.0

      $0.0

      Sept-24 Dec-24 Mar-25 Jun-25 Sept-25 Repurchase Agreements Hedge Notional

      Hedge Ratio (RHS)

      100%

      90%

      80%

      70%

      60%

      50%

      40%

      Hedge Portfolio Composition

      Maturities2

      Treasury Futures Notional

      ($ millions)

      Interest Rate Swap Notional ($ millions)

      Interest Rate Swap Pay Rate3

      Less than 3 years

      -

      1,555

      0.31%

      3 to 5 years

      -

      450

      0.47%

      5 to 7 years

      -

      500

      0.61%

      7 to 10 years

      810

      430

      4.13%

      10+ years

      190

      445

      1.99%

      Total

      $1,000

      $3,380

      1.08%

  • Financed Agency RMBS and Agency CMBS investments with repurchase agreements across 20 counterparties

  • Hedged 85% of borrowing costs with interest rate swaps and U.S. Treasury futures

  • Debt-to-equity ratio and economic debt-to-equity ratio4 of 6.7x

  1. Chart reflects carrying value of repurchase agreement borrowings and total hedge notional amount of interest rate swaps and U.S. Treasury futures

  2. Grouped according to weighted average years to maturity for interest rate swaps and average remaining years to maturity of the delivery basket for U.S. Treasury futures

  3. Represents period-end weighted average as of September 30, 2025

  4. Economic debt-to-equity ratio is a non-GAAP financial measure. Refer to Appendix for additional information

As of September 30, 2025

As of September 30, 2024

Common Stock

Preferred Stock

Common Stock

Preferred Stock

IVR

IVR-PC

IVR

IVR-PB

IVR-PC

70.9 million

6.9 million

60.7 million

4.2 million

7.3 million

$7.56

$24.36

$9.39

$24.62

$24.05

$8.41

$25.00

$9.37

$25.00

$25.00

$0.34

$0.46875

$0.40

$0.4844

$0.46875

18.0%

7.7%

17.0%

7.9%

7.8%

$596 million

$173 million

$569 million

$106 million

$182 million

78%

22%

66%

13%

21%

Capital Structure

NYSE Ticker Shares Outstanding Share Price

Book Value per share1Quarterly Dividend per share Annualized Dividend Yield2Stockholders' Equity3

% Stockholders' Equity

  1. Refer to Appendix for further information on book value per common share. Book value per share of preferred stock equals liquidation value per share

  2. Calculated as annualized dividend per share divided by period end share price, by class respectively

  3. Common stockholders' equity is calculated as total stockholders' equity less liquidation preference of Series B and Series C Preferred Stock

Appendix - Non-GAAP Financial Information

The Company's business objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to its stockholders, primarily through dividends and secondarily through capital appreciation. The Company uses earnings available for distribution as a measure of its investment portfolio's ability to generate income for distribution to common stockholders and to evaluate its progress toward meeting this objective. The Company calculates earnings available for distribution as U.S. GAAP net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders adjusted for (gain) loss on investments, net; realized (gain) loss on derivative instruments, net; unrealized (gain) loss on derivative instruments, net; TBA dollar roll income and (gain) loss on repurchase and retirement of preferred stock.

By excluding the gains and losses discussed above, the Company believes the presentation of earnings available for distribution provides a consistent measure of operating performance that investors can use to evaluate its results over multiple reporting periods and, to a certain extent, compare to its peer companies. However, because not all of the Company's peer companies use identical operating performance measures, the Company's presentation of earnings available for distribution may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures used by its peer companies. The Company excludes the impact of gains and losses when calculating earnings available for distribution because (i) when analyzed in conjunction with its U.S. GAAP results, earnings available for distribution provides additional detail of its investment portfolio's earnings capacity and (ii) gains and losses were not accounted for consistently under U.S. GAAP. Under U.S. GAAP, certain gains and losses may be reflected in net income whereas other gains and losses may be reflected in other comprehensive income. For example, a portion of the Company's mortgage-backed securities were historically classified as available-for-sale securities, and changes in the valuation of these securities were recorded in other comprehensive income on its condensed consolidated balance sheets. The Company elected the fair value option for its mortgage-backed securities purchased on or after September 1, 2016, and changes in the valuation of these securities are recorded in other income (loss) in the condensed consolidated statements of operations. In addition, certain gains and losses represent one-time events. The Company may add and has added additional reconciling items to its earnings available for distribution calculation as appropriate.

To maintain qualification as a REIT, U.S. federal income tax law generally requires that the Company distribute at least 90% of its REIT taxable income annually, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding net capital gains. Because the Company views earnings available for distribution as a consistent measure of its investment portfolio's ability to generate income for distribution to common stockholders, earnings available for distribution is one metric, but not the exclusive metric, that the Company's board of directors uses to determine the amount, if any, and the payment date of dividends on common stock. However, earnings available for distribution should not be considered as an indication of the Company's taxable income, a guaranty of its ability to pay dividends or as a proxy for the amount of dividends it may pay, as earnings available for distribution excludes certain items that impact its cash needs.

Earnings available for distribution is an incomplete measure of the Company's financial performance and there are other factors that impact the achievement of the Company's business objective. The Company cautions that earnings available for distribution should not be considered as an alternative to net income (determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP) or as an indication of the Company's cash flow from operating activities (determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP), a measure of the Company's liquidity or as an indication of amounts available to fund its cash needs.

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