Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc.
Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call
October 31, 2025
Chief Executive Officer
Kevin CollinsPresident
Mark GregsonChief Financial Officer
David LyleChief Operating Officer
Brian NorrisChief Investment Officer
Q3 2025 Results Financial Results Investment Allocation Q3 25
Net income (loss) per common share $0.74
Q2 25($0.40)
Agency CMO
1.2%
$5.7 billionAgency RMBS
83.1%
Earnings available for distribution per common share1 | $0.58 | $0.58 |
Common stock dividend per share | $0.34 | $0.34 |
Book value per common share2 | $8.41 | $8.05 |
Economic return2 | 8.7% | (4.8%) |
Debt-to-equity ratio | 6.7x | 6.5x |
Company Activity |
Agency CMBS
15.7%
Raised $36.1 million, net of issuance costs, through our at-the-market common stock program
Repurchased Series C Preferred Stock with a carrying value of $2.2 million
Held $423.4 million of unrestricted cash and unencumbered investments at quarter end
Earnings available for distribution is a non-GAAP financial measure. Refer to Appendix for additional information
Refer to Appendix for additional information
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results
Macro EnvironmentInterest rates declined modestly in the third quarter as employment data signaled a weakening labor market
despite robust economic growth and improving financial conditions
Treasury Yields Money Market Rates5.0%
4.5%
4.0%
3.5%
5.5%
5.0%
4.5%
4.0%
3.0%
0 yr 5 yr 10 yr 15 yr 20 yr 25 yr 30 yr
3.5%
9/24 12/24 3/25 6/25 9/25
Agency MBS Repo 1 Month SOFR 3 Month SOFR
Federal Funds Futures4.5%
4.0%
3.5%
3.0%
Interest Rate Volatility(basis points) 125
110
95
80
2.5%
9/25 3/26 9/26 3/27 9/27 3/28
9/30/2024 6/30/2025 9/30/2025 Current
65
9/24 12/24 3/25 6/25 9/25
3M X 10Y Swaption Volatility 3Y X 10Y Swaption Volatility
Agency RMBS MarketAgency mortgages performed well during the third quarter as interest rate volatility continued to decline, while higher coupon specified pool pay-ups improved given lower mortgage rates
Performance vs. Treasuries1
(basis points)
200
150
100
50
0
-50
-100
9/24 12/24 3/25 6/25 9/25
Spread to Treasuries2
(basis points)
140
120
100
80
Specified Pool Pay-ups($200k max, in points)
$2.0
$1.5
$1.0
$0.5
$0.0
9/24 12/24 3/25 6/25 9/25
FN 5.0% FN 5.5% FN 6.0% FN 6.5%
Dollar Roll Implied Financing Rate6.5%
5.5%
4.5%
3.5%
60
9/24 12/24 3/25 6/25 9/25
30 year current coupon hedged performance vs. Treasuries
30 year current coupon zero volatility spread to Treasuries
Data as of 9/30/2025
2.5%
9/24 12/24 3/25 6/25 9/25
FN 5.0% FN 5.5% FN 6.0% FN 6.5% 1M SOFR
5
Agency RMBS Investments Coupon Allocation40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Agency RMBS investment portfolio increased 13.2% to $4.8 billion in Q3 2025
Net purchased $647 million during the quarter to invest proceeds from ATM issuance, re-invest paydowns, and maintain leverage
Purchases were focused in specified pools priced near par with attractively valued prepayment characteristics
Higher coupon specified pool pay-ups improved as the decline in mortgage rates resulted in increased value of prepayment protection
4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 6.0% 6.5%
Specified Pool Allocation
Q3 2025 specified pool characteristics
10.3% CPR
50%
40%
30%
9/30/246/30/259/30/25Weighted average coupon of 5.4%
Amortized cost to principal balance ratio of 99.1%
Period-end weighted average specified pool pay-up of
0.9 points
20%
10%
0%
TBA Loan Balance Geographic
Location
Low Credit
Score
High LTV Investment
Property
Agency RMBS investment portfolio includes specified pools at fair value and TBAs at implied market value
Agency CMBS Investments AllocationAgency CMBS investment portfolio of $0.9 billion at quarter end
Freddie Multi PCs 19.3%
Spread to Treasuries(basis points)
70
$899.5 millionFannie DUS 80.7%
Agency CMBS risk premiums continued to decline with
broader financial markets
Agency CMBS benefits from:
Guarantee of principal and interest from the issuing agency or federally chartered corporation
Lower sensitivity to interest rate volatility than Agency RMBS given prepayment protection and balloon payments at maturity
Favorable financing terms with multiple counterparties
60
50
40
9/24 12/24 3/25 6/25 9/25
Fannie DUS 10/9.5 spread data as of 9/30/2025 7
Source: JP Morgan
Financing & Hedging Cost of Funds Protection1(in billions)
$6.0
$5.0
$4.0
$3.0
$2.0
$1.0
$0.0
Sept-24 Dec-24 Mar-25 Jun-25 Sept-25 Repurchase Agreements Hedge Notional
Hedge Ratio (RHS)100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
Hedge Portfolio CompositionMaturities2
Treasury Futures Notional
($ millions)
Interest Rate Swap Notional ($ millions)
Interest Rate Swap Pay Rate3
Less than 3 years
-
1,555
0.31%
3 to 5 years
-
450
0.47%
5 to 7 years
-
500
0.61%
7 to 10 years
810
430
4.13%
10+ years
190
445
1.99%
Total
$1,000
$3,380
1.08%
Financed Agency RMBS and Agency CMBS investments with repurchase agreements across 20 counterparties
Hedged 85% of borrowing costs with interest rate swaps and U.S. Treasury futures
Debt-to-equity ratio and economic debt-to-equity ratio4 of 6.7x
Chart reflects carrying value of repurchase agreement borrowings and total hedge notional amount of interest rate swaps and U.S. Treasury futures
Grouped according to weighted average years to maturity for interest rate swaps and average remaining years to maturity of the delivery basket for U.S. Treasury futures
Represents period-end weighted average as of September 30, 2025
Economic debt-to-equity ratio is a non-GAAP financial measure. Refer to Appendix for additional information
As of September 30, 2025 | As of September 30, 2024 | |||
Common Stock | Preferred Stock | Common Stock | Preferred Stock | |
IVR | IVR-PC | IVR | IVR-PB | IVR-PC |
70.9 million | 6.9 million | 60.7 million | 4.2 million | 7.3 million |
$7.56 | $24.36 | $9.39 | $24.62 | $24.05 |
$8.41 | $25.00 | $9.37 | $25.00 | $25.00 |
$0.34 | $0.46875 | $0.40 | $0.4844 | $0.46875 |
18.0% | 7.7% | 17.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
$596 million | $173 million | $569 million | $106 million | $182 million |
78% | 22% | 66% | 13% | 21% |
NYSE Ticker Shares Outstanding Share Price
Book Value per share1Quarterly Dividend per share Annualized Dividend Yield2Stockholders' Equity3
% Stockholders' Equity
Refer to Appendix for further information on book value per common share. Book value per share of preferred stock equals liquidation value per share
Calculated as annualized dividend per share divided by period end share price, by class respectively
Common stockholders' equity is calculated as total stockholders' equity less liquidation preference of Series B and Series C Preferred Stock
The Company's business objective is to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to its stockholders, primarily through dividends and secondarily through capital appreciation. The Company uses earnings available for distribution as a measure of its investment portfolio's ability to generate income for distribution to common stockholders and to evaluate its progress toward meeting this objective. The Company calculates earnings available for distribution as U.S. GAAP net income (loss) attributable to common stockholders adjusted for (gain) loss on investments, net; realized (gain) loss on derivative instruments, net; unrealized (gain) loss on derivative instruments, net; TBA dollar roll income and (gain) loss on repurchase and retirement of preferred stock.
By excluding the gains and losses discussed above, the Company believes the presentation of earnings available for distribution provides a consistent measure of operating performance that investors can use to evaluate its results over multiple reporting periods and, to a certain extent, compare to its peer companies. However, because not all of the Company's peer companies use identical operating performance measures, the Company's presentation of earnings available for distribution may not be comparable to other similarly titled measures used by its peer companies. The Company excludes the impact of gains and losses when calculating earnings available for distribution because (i) when analyzed in conjunction with its U.S. GAAP results, earnings available for distribution provides additional detail of its investment portfolio's earnings capacity and (ii) gains and losses were not accounted for consistently under U.S. GAAP. Under U.S. GAAP, certain gains and losses may be reflected in net income whereas other gains and losses may be reflected in other comprehensive income. For example, a portion of the Company's mortgage-backed securities were historically classified as available-for-sale securities, and changes in the valuation of these securities were recorded in other comprehensive income on its condensed consolidated balance sheets. The Company elected the fair value option for its mortgage-backed securities purchased on or after September 1, 2016, and changes in the valuation of these securities are recorded in other income (loss) in the condensed consolidated statements of operations. In addition, certain gains and losses represent one-time events. The Company may add and has added additional reconciling items to its earnings available for distribution calculation as appropriate.
To maintain qualification as a REIT, U.S. federal income tax law generally requires that the Company distribute at least 90% of its REIT taxable income annually, determined without regard to the deduction for dividends paid and excluding net capital gains. Because the Company views earnings available for distribution as a consistent measure of its investment portfolio's ability to generate income for distribution to common stockholders, earnings available for distribution is one metric, but not the exclusive metric, that the Company's board of directors uses to determine the amount, if any, and the payment date of dividends on common stock. However, earnings available for distribution should not be considered as an indication of the Company's taxable income, a guaranty of its ability to pay dividends or as a proxy for the amount of dividends it may pay, as earnings available for distribution excludes certain items that impact its cash needs.
Earnings available for distribution is an incomplete measure of the Company's financial performance and there are other factors that impact the achievement of the Company's business objective. The Company cautions that earnings available for distribution should not be considered as an alternative to net income (determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP) or as an indication of the Company's cash flow from operating activities (determined in accordance with U.S. GAAP), a measure of the Company's liquidity or as an indication of amounts available to fund its cash needs.
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