The leading palladium- nickel-copper development project in the western world
Macquarie WA Forum
7 NOVEMBER 2024
A S X : C H N
Chalice Mining is a leading critical minerals explorer-developer in Western Australia
Tier-1 scale Resource in WA - the Gonneville Project
- 100% ownership of one of the largest undeveloped PGE-Ni- Cu-Co (critical minerals) resources in the western world
- 17Moz of Pd-Pt-Au (3E), 960kt Ni, 540kt Cu, 96kt Co in Resource, starting at surface1
- Strategic and Major Project Status from WA/Aus Governments
- Pre-FeasibilityStudy and regulatory approvals underway
Compelling value, leverage and upside
- High leverage to Pd, Ni price recovery from cyclical lows
- Gonneville predicted to become the lowest cost PGE mine in the western world (after Ni-Cu-Co credits) - 2nd quartile on cost curve
- ~10,000km2 of licences in exciting new West Yilgarn province
Strategic MOU with
- Non-bindingMOU with top tier development partner
- Intention to formalise a potential binding partnership post PFS
Strong financial position and share register
- ~A$98M in cash and listed investments and no debt2
W E S T E R N
A U S T R A L I A
1. 660Mt @ 0.79g/t Pd+Pt+Au (3E), 0.15% Ni, 0.083% Cu, 0.015% Co (refer to the Mineral Resources Estimate contained in Appendix for tonnes and grade by confidence category)
ASX: CHN | 2 |
2. Includes ~$14M in listed Investments at 30 September 2024
Chalice is an ASX300 listed specialist critical minerals explorer-developer with a uniquely strong financial position and institutional register
Major shareholders3
Tim Goyder | ||
11% | ||
Retail/Other | ||
Institutional | ||
53% | Paradice (5%) | |
36% | Others (31%) | |
Capital structure | |
Shares on issue | 389M |
Market capitalisation | A$708M1 |
Trading liquidity | ~4M shares/day |
Cash balance | A$84M2 |
Listed investments | A$14M2 |
Enterprise value | A$624M1 |
ASX:CHN 6-month performance
2.00
1.75
1.50
1.25
1.00
0.75
0.50
0.25
0.00
08-May-24 | 05-Jun-24 | 03-Jul-24 | 31-Jul-24 | 28-Aug-24 | 25-Sep-24 | 23-Oct-24 |
Research coverage
1. As of 31 October 2024; 2. As of 30 September 2024. 3. Major shareholder information is as disclosed in the last substantial shareholder notice provided to the Company. Note: Arctis Global disclosed a long | ASX: CHN | 3 |
equity derivative position of 46,728,282 shares on 10 Nov 2022. |
Why palladium? Battery electric vehicle adoption has reached a
plateau and hybrid EV sales are growing rapidly
Total passenger vehicle sales (China, US, Europe)
Vehicles without Palladium (BEV) | Vehicles with Palladium (ICE, HEV) | |
5000
4000
3000
- Western car manufacturers are scaling back their BEV growth ambitions, and scaling up hybrid production to meet changing consumer preferences
- 57% of BYDs sales in Q2CY24 were hybrids - it is not just a western trend
2000
1000 | BEV growth flat since Dec-22 | ||||||
0 | |||||||
Jun-21 | Dec-21 | Jun-22 | Dec-22 | Jun-23 | Dec-23 | Jun-24 |
- 46% of current US BEV owners considering switching back to ICE
- More palladium required in HEVs than internal combustion engine vehicles (ICE)
- The hybrid growth story is not yet reflected in consensus palladium demand forecasts
Source: China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), company data, Motor Intelligence, McKinsey Mobility Consumer Pulse 2024 (n = 36,954)
ASX: CHN | 4 |
PGE prices are deep into the cost curve and unsustainable - given strength of demand, prices could continue to rebound
PGE industry all-in sustaining cost curve (cash costs plus sustaining CapEx), net of by-product credits, US$/oz 4E 2023A1
AISC (US$/oz 4E)
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
-500
-1,000
Quartile 1 | Quartile 2 | Quartile 3 | Quartile 4 | |||||||||||||||
15Mtpa Case: | ||||||||||||||||||
~280kozpa 4E | Loss making operations | |||||||||||||||||
@ US$470/oz2 | ||||||||||||||||||
840 | Predominantly South African / Zimbabwean mines - | |||||||||||||||||
unit costs up 8-20% in 2023 relative to 2022 | ||||||||||||||||||
Nornickel (Russia) - | ||||||||||||||||||
negative cash costs | ||||||||||||||||||
1,000 | 2,000 | 3,000 | 4,000 | 5,000 | 6,000 | 7,000 | 8,000 | 9,000 | 10,000 | 11,000 | 12,000 | |||||||
Cumulative 4E production (koz) | ||||||||||||||||||
Net total cash costs (US$/oz 4E) | Sustaining CapEx (US$/oz 4E) | |||||||||||||||||
Source: April 2024 SFA (Oxford) figures used for 2023 realised 4E cost curve data. Note: 1. 4E cost curve positioning assumes SFA Oxford 2023 actual by-product commodity prices of: Copper prices of: US$8,486/t, Nickel US$21,505/t, Iridium US$4,682/oz, Ruthenium US$464/oz, Chrome 42% CIF US$312/t. Chalice internal Cobalt prices of US$40,000/t have been assumed given not disclosed in SFA data. ZAR:USD exchange rate of 18.47 assumed. 2. AISC adjusted to reflect SFA Oxford 2023 actual by-product commodity prices (vs US$360/oz on August 2023 Scoping Study prices)
ASX: CHN | 5 |
Chalice provides significant leverage to Pd price recovery - market conditions extremely tight and potential for supply disruption is high
Relative performance since Stillwater revised guidance in Sept 2024
Chalice | PGE Producers (SSW, AMS, IMP, NPH) | Palladium | ||
2.0
>80%
1.8
1.5
1.3
~20%
1.0
- Sibanye revised CY25 production guidance at Stillwater down by ~50% (~200koz per year)
- US asked G7 to assess sanctions on Russian Pd on 24th Oct, triggering further Pd price appreciation
- Chalice has outperformed all major PGE equities following recent events
0.8
0.5 | |||||||
10-Sep-24 | 17-Sep-24 | 24-Sep-24 | 01-Oct-24 | 08-Oct-24 | 15-Oct-24 | 22-Oct-24 | 29-Oct-24 |
- Limited options in safe, reliable jurisdictions for exposure to Pd price appreciation
Source: S&P Global Capital IQ
ASX: CHN | 6 |
Gonneville PGE-Ni-Cu-Co Project Overview
A new long-life, low-cost, low-carbon, strategic critical minerals project in Western Australia
Strategic MOU with Mitsubishi Corporation
Top tier development partner, intention to formalise a potential binding partnership post PFS1
Tier 1 scale sulphide Resource | Unique critical minerals exposure |
17Moz of Pd-Pt-Au (3E), 960kt Ni, | Revenue split of ~50% Pd, ~25% Ni, |
540kt Cu, 96kt Co contained2 | ~15% Cu, ~10% Au/Pt/Co3 |
Competitive cost profile | Low-risk development location |
Predicted to become lowest cost | Mine infrastructure on ~22km2 of |
PGE producer in western world | Chalice-owned farmland |
(2nd Quartile) after Ni-Cu-Co by- | |
product credits | |
Shallow open-pit mining | Sulphide mineralogy |
Resource starts at surface, high- | Ability to produce separate, saleable |
grade feed in early years | Cu-PGE, Ni-Co-PGE concentrates and |
leach Pd-Au from flotation tails |
- Non-bindingMOU executed on 3 July 2024 - refer to ASX Announcement for full details
- For tonnes and grade by confidence category and metal equivalent assumptions, refer to the Mineral Resources Statement in Appendix.
ASX: CHN | 7 |
3. Based on the August 2023 Scoping Study 15Mtpa case adjusted to approximate long-term consensus metal prices
Gonneville has 'Strategic' and 'Major Project' Status - formal recognition of the importance of the Project by the WA and Federal Governments
September 2024: Awarded 'Strategic Project Status' by the WA State Government
- Awarded by the WA Premier Hon Roger Cook MLA and Department of Jobs, Tourism, Science and Innovation (JTSI)
- Provides formal recognition of the strategic value of the Project and its potential to deliver significant economic and energy transition benefits for Western Australia and the region
- JTSI to provide high level of facilitation for State regulatory approvals and infrastructure requirements
October 2024: Granted 'Major Project Status' by the Australian Federal Government
- Granted by the Minister for Industry and Science, the Hon Ed Husic
- Recognises the national significance of the Project to the development of Australia's critical mineral sector
- Major Projects Facilitation Agency to provide support in navigating the
Commonwealth approvals process
ASX: CHN | 8 |
The tier-1scale Gonneville Resource starts at surface, is drilled-out to ~450m deep and is open beyond ~1.1km deep
Gonneville Resource Plan View | Gonneville Resource 3D View looking NNE | |||||
~1,200 drill holes for ~320,000m completed since discovery in March 2020 | ASX: CHN | 9 |
The rare Gonneville critical minerals Resource has high-gradeoptionality and compelling growth potential
High Grade Mineral Resource Estimate1:
- 59Mt @ 2.0g/t 3E (Pd+Pt+Au), 0.20% Ni, 0.21% Cu, 0.019% Co
- 3.8Moz 3E, 120kt Ni, 120kt Cu and 11kt Co contained
- Starts at surface, open at depth
Project scale to increase over time according to prevailing macroeconomic conditions - as prices
increase or recoveries improve, cut-off
grade can be reduced making more tonnes economic to process
Mineral Resource Estimate1:
- 660Mt @ 0.79g/t 3E (Pd+Pt+Au), 0.15% Ni, 0.08% Cu, 0.015% Co
- 17Moz 3E, 960kt Ni, 540kt Cu and 96kt Co contained
Gonneville NSR Grade-Tonnage table2
NSR Cut-off | NSR Cut-off in | Total Mass | Grade | ||||||
in-pit | MSO | ||||||||
A$/t | A$/t | (Mt) | 3E (g/t) | Pd (g/t) | Pt (g/t) | Au (g/t) | Ni (%) | Cu (%) | Co (%) |
15 | 110 | 690 | 0.75 | 0.59 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.15 | 0.082 | 0.015 |
25 | 110 | 640 | 0.78 | 0.62 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 0.15 | 0.085 | 0.015 |
35 | 110 | 530 | 0.85 | 0.67 | 0.15 | 0.03 | 0.16 | 0.092 | 0.015 |
45 | 110 | 390 | 0.97 | 0.76 | 0.17 | 0.03 | 0.16 | 0.11 | 0.016 |
55 | 110 | 270 | 1.1 | 0.88 | 0.20 | 0.04 | 0.17 | 0.12 | 0.017 |
65 | 110 | 180 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.23 | 0.05 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 0.017 |
75 | 110 | 130 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.27 | 0.06 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.018 |
85 | 110 | 95 | 1.7 | 1.3 | 0.30 | 0.06 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.018 |
95 | 110 | 73 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.34 | 0.07 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.019 |
105 | 110 | 58 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.37 | 0.08 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.019 |
115 | 110 | 47 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 0.40 | 0.09 | 0.21 | 0.22 | 0.019 |
125 | 110 | 40 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 0.42 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.019 |
135 | 110 | 34 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 0.45 | 0.10 | 0.21 | 0.24 | 0.019 |
145 | 110 | 30 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 0.47 | 0.11 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.019 |
155 | 110 | 27 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 0.48 | 0.11 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.019 |
- For tonnes and grade by confidence category and NSR cut-off assumptions, refer to the Mineral Resource Estimate table in Appendix
- For complete NSR assumptions refer to ASX Announcement "Gonneville Resource remodeled to support selective mining", dated 23 April 2024
ASX: CHN | 10 |
